Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple indication of how weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The HRFI demonstrates a strong correlation with HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand forecast data by team and game.

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HRF forecast value available for each contest, with detailed data throughout the game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Jupiter, FL overcast clouds 86 10
Miami, FL broken clouds 88 10
West Palm Beach, FL broken clouds 87 10
Anaheim, CA overcast clouds 60 8
Arlington, TX few clouds 72 8
Atlanta, GA few clouds 71 8
Baltimore, MD few clouds 70 8
Dyersville, IA overcast clouds 65 8
Houston, TX few clouds 79 8
Phoenix, AZ broken clouds 77 8
St. Louis, MO overcast clouds 67 8
Kansas City, MO overcast clouds 64 7
Mexico City, México clear sky 76 6
Cincinnati, OH clear sky 71 6
Pittsburgh, PA scattered clouds 70 6
Chicago (NL), IL broken clouds 65 5
Denver, CO few clouds 59 5
Detroit, MI clear sky 66 5
Minneapolis, MN overcast clouds 57 5
Toronto, ON scattered clouds 65 5
Washington, DC few clouds 72 5
Williamsport, PA clear sky 69 5
Chicago (AL), IL broken clouds 68 4
Los Angeles, CA overcast clouds 59 4
San Diego, CA overcast clouds 61 4
San Francisco, CA broken clouds 55 4
Seattle, WA overcast clouds 52 4
Tampa Bay, FL overcast clouds 84 4
Boston, MA light rain 57 3
Bronx, NY overcast clouds 60 3
Cleveland, OH broken clouds 64 3
Milwaukee, WI scattered clouds 64 3
Oakland, CA broken clouds 56 3
Philadelphia, PA overcast clouds 65 3
Queens, NY overcast clouds 61 3
Data last updated: 1715871365
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