Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple indication of how weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The HRFI demonstrates a strong correlation with HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand forecast data by team and game.

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HRF forecast value available for each contest, with detailed data throughout the game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Anaheim, CA clear sky 70 8
Boston, MA broken clouds 70 8
Cleveland, OH overcast clouds 72 8
Houston, TX clear sky 78 8
Oakland, CA scattered clouds 62 8
Philadelphia, PA broken clouds 73 8
Queens, NY broken clouds 70 8
San Francisco, CA scattered clouds 61 8
Toronto, ON broken clouds 71 8
Washington, DC scattered clouds 75 8
Bronx, NY clear sky 73 7
Los Angeles, CA clear sky 67 7
Pittsburgh, PA broken clouds 75 7
Williamsport, PA overcast clouds 69 6
Detroit, MI overcast clouds 68 5
Phoenix, AZ few clouds 77 5
San Diego, CA few clouds 68 5
Tampa Bay, FL clear sky 79 5
Atlanta, GA clear sky 69 4
Cincinnati, OH overcast clouds 63 4
Miami, FL broken clouds 78 4
Arlington, TX clear sky 68 3
Baltimore, MD broken clouds 74 3
Denver, CO scattered clouds 52 3
Kansas City, MO clear sky 52 3
St. Louis, MO scattered clouds 56 3
Chicago (AL), IL broken clouds 49 2
Chicago (NL), IL broken clouds 49 1
Milwaukee, WI scattered clouds 46 1
Minneapolis, MN overcast clouds 36 1
Seattle, WA moderate rain 50 1
Data last updated: 1730418967
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