Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions can change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple way to see the if weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The Home Run Forecast Index demonstrates a strong correlation with the number of HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand HRFI forecast data by team and for each game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark LocationSky CoverTemperature (°F)Home Run Forecast Index™
Houston, TXovercast clouds768
Tampa, FLclear sky708
Arlington, TXclear sky727
Anaheim, CAovercast clouds555
Miami, FLlight rain755
Phoenix, AZscattered clouds695
Atlanta, GAbroken clouds624
San Francisco, CAovercast clouds544
Tampa Bay, FLclear sky704
Cincinnati, OHovercast clouds513
Kansas City, MOfew clouds593
Los Angeles, CAovercast clouds553
Mexico City, Mexicoclear sky613
Sacramento, CAovercast clouds543
San Diego, CAbroken clouds573
St. Louis, MOclear sky543
Baltimore, MDovercast clouds461
Boston, MAovercast clouds431
Bronx, NYovercast clouds421
Chicago (AL), ILbroken clouds451
Chicago (NL), ILovercast clouds461
Cleveland, OHovercast clouds461
Denver, COovercast clouds391
Detroit, MIclear sky431
Milwaukee, WIfew clouds421
Minneapolis, MNovercast clouds461
Philadelphia, PAovercast clouds431
Pittsburgh, PAovercast clouds461
Queens, NYovercast clouds421
Seattle, WAclear sky431
Toronto, ONclear sky391
Washington, DCovercast clouds461
Data last updated: 1777200969
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