Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions can change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple way to see the if weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The Home Run Forecast Index demonstrates a strong correlation with the number of HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand HRFI forecast data by team and for each game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark LocationSky CoverTemperature (°F)Home Run Forecast Index™
Anaheim, CAclear sky8810
Arlington, TXclear sky9110
Houston, TXfew clouds9110
Kansas City, MOclear sky8710
Las Vegas, NVscattered clouds9010
Phoenix, AZfew clouds10110
Sacramento, CAclear sky8910
St. Louis, MOclear sky8910
Miami, FLlight rain889
Chicago (AL), ILovercast clouds708
Denver, COscattered clouds878
Los Angeles, CAclear sky858
San Diego, CAclear sky848
San Francisco, CAfew clouds658
Tampa, FLovercast clouds848
Baltimore, MDovercast clouds736
Boston, MAclear sky666
Bronx, NYovercast clouds716
Cincinnati, OHbroken clouds806
Washington, DCovercast clouds736
Williamsport, PAclear sky685
Chicago (NL), ILovercast clouds695
Detroit, MIovercast clouds685
Philadelphia, PAovercast clouds735
Tampa Bay, FLovercast clouds855
Atlanta, GAovercast clouds704
Cleveland, OHbroken clouds694
Pittsburgh, PAovercast clouds704
Queens, NYovercast clouds714
Milwaukee, WIbroken clouds633
Minneapolis, MNclear sky723
Seattle, WAlight rain543
Toronto, ONclear sky673
Data last updated: 1791579369
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