Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions can change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple way to see the if weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The Home Run Forecast Index demonstrates a strong correlation with the number of HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand HRFI forecast data by team and for each game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark LocationSky CoverTemperature (°F)Home Run Forecast Index™
Chicago (NL), ILfew clouds688
Kansas City, MOclear sky708
Arlington, TXclear sky737
Houston, TXclear sky727
Miami, FLbroken clouds797
Anaheim, CAclear sky685
Cleveland, OHclear sky585
Minneapolis, MNovercast clouds585
San Diego, CAovercast clouds685
St. Louis, MOclear sky665
Tampa Bay, FLbroken clouds765
Chicago (AL), ILfew clouds684
Los Angeles, CAbroken clouds664
Phoenix, AZclear sky744
San Francisco, CAbroken clouds604
Denver, COclear sky523
Detroit, MIclear sky573
Las Vegas, NVclear sky673
Milwaukee, WIclear sky653
Sacramento, CAclear sky573
Tampa, FLscattered clouds743
Baltimore, MDfew clouds552
Bronx, NYclear sky552
Cincinnati, OHclear sky582
Philadelphia, PAbroken clouds532
Pittsburgh, PAfew clouds552
Queens, NYbroken clouds562
Washington, DCfew clouds542
Williamsport, PAclear sky481
Atlanta, GAscattered clouds601
Boston, MAfew clouds461
Seattle, WAscattered clouds471
Toronto, ONclear sky501
Data last updated: 1793242567
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