Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions can change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple way to see the if weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The Home Run Forecast Index demonstrates a strong correlation with the number of HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand HRFI forecast data by team and for each game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark LocationSky CoverTemperature (°F)Home Run Forecast Index™
Arlington, TXbroken clouds9110
Las Vegas, NVscattered clouds9810
Sacramento, CAclear sky9010
Anaheim, CAclear sky788
Baltimore, MDscattered clouds788
Boston, MAclear sky798
Bronx, NYlight rain848
Chicago (NL), ILbroken clouds758
Houston, TXbroken clouds848
Los Angeles, CAclear sky778
Philadelphia, PAclear sky828
Queens, NYscattered clouds848
Washington, DCfew clouds778
Cincinnati, OHovercast clouds797
San Francisco, CAclear sky617
Chicago (AL), ILbroken clouds756
Cleveland, OHovercast clouds716
San Diego, CAovercast clouds746
Denver, COclear sky815
Detroit, MIovercast clouds755
Miami, FLfew clouds805
Milwaukee, WIclear sky705
Minneapolis, MNclear sky735
Phoenix, AZbroken clouds985
Pittsburgh, PAbroken clouds755
Seattle, WAclear sky785
Tampa Bay, FLovercast clouds785
Atlanta, GAheavy intensity rain724
Kansas City, MOfew clouds734
St. Louis, MOovercast clouds704
Toronto, ONbroken clouds724
Tampa, FLovercast clouds743
Data last updated: 1786071367
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