Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions can change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple way to see the if weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The Home Run Forecast Index demonstrates a strong correlation with the number of HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand HRFI forecast data by team and for each game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark LocationSky CoverTemperature (°F)Home Run Forecast Index™
Houston, TXbroken clouds787
Miami, FLlight rain777
Arlington, TXclear sky715
Tampa Bay, FLclear sky725
Anaheim, CAclear sky634
Chicago (NL), ILovercast clouds594
Kansas City, MOovercast clouds634
Phoenix, AZovercast clouds654
San Diego, CAscattered clouds654
Las Vegas, NVclear sky553
Los Angeles, CAclear sky623
Minneapolis, MNlight rain623
Sacramento, CAclear sky583
San Francisco, CAclear sky583
St. Louis, MOovercast clouds593
Tampa, FLovercast clouds723
Chicago (AL), ILovercast clouds592
Cleveland, OHbroken clouds582
Detroit, MIscattered clouds542
Milwaukee, WIovercast clouds572
Philadelphia, PAclear sky512
Toronto, ONclear sky512
Williamsport, PAclear sky441
Atlanta, GAovercast clouds581
Baltimore, MDscattered clouds501
Boston, MAclear sky471
Bronx, NYbroken clouds541
Cincinnati, OHovercast clouds621
Denver, COovercast clouds511
Pittsburgh, PAclear sky561
Queens, NYbroken clouds541
Seattle, WAclear sky431
Washington, DCbroken clouds511
Data last updated: 1793588167
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