Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple indication of how weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The HRFI demonstrates a strong correlation with HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand forecast data by team and game.

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HRF forecast value available for each contest, with detailed data throughout the game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Phoenix, AZ clear sky 104 10
Anaheim, CA clear sky 76 8
Arlington, TX clear sky 79 8
Birmingham, AL broken clouds 78 8
Houston, TX broken clouds 77 8
Los Angeles, CA clear sky 79 8
Oakland, CA broken clouds 59 8
San Francisco, CA broken clouds 59 8
Atlanta, GA scattered clouds 76 7
Denver, CO broken clouds 73 7
Bronx, NY overcast clouds 74 6
Chicago (NL), IL clear sky 71 6
Cincinnati, OH clear sky 70 6
Detroit, MI clear sky 69 6
Kansas City, MO few clouds 80 6
Minneapolis, MN broken clouds 79 6
Philadelphia, PA overcast clouds 73 6
Queens, NY overcast clouds 75 6
San Diego, CA few clouds 72 6
Baltimore, MD broken clouds 72 5
Boston, MA clear sky 69 5
Miami, FL few clouds 84 5
Pittsburgh, PA clear sky 68 5
St. Louis, MO few clouds 78 5
Washington, DC clear sky 71 5
Chicago (AL), IL clear sky 72 4
Cleveland, OH clear sky 65 4
Milwaukee, WI clear sky 65 4
Seattle, WA few clouds 71 4
Tampa Bay, FL scattered clouds 82 4
London, England overcast clouds 57 3
Toronto, ON clear sky 70 3
Data last updated: 1722048966
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