Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions can change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple way to see the if weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The Home Run Forecast Index demonstrates a strong correlation with the number of HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand HRFI forecast data by team and for each game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Phoenix, AZ broken clouds 85 9
Arlington, TX scattered clouds 78 8
Atlanta, GA scattered clouds 70 8
Houston, TX few clouds 79 8
Oakland, CA scattered clouds 59 7
Anaheim, CA overcast clouds 58 6
San Francisco, CA scattered clouds 57 6
Tampa Bay, FL clear sky 85 5
Denver, CO few clouds 73 4
Los Angeles, CA overcast clouds 58 4
Miami, FL broken clouds 78 4
Minneapolis, MN broken clouds 54 4
San Diego, CA overcast clouds 59 4
Baltimore, MD overcast clouds 53 3
Boston, MA overcast clouds 52 3
Queens, NY overcast clouds 52 3
Seattle, WA broken clouds 60 3
Tokyo, JP broken clouds 59 3
Washington, DC scattered clouds 54 3
Cincinnati, OH broken clouds 54 2
Bronx, NY overcast clouds 49 1
Chicago (AL), IL few clouds 51 1
Chicago (NL), IL scattered clouds 50 1
Cleveland, OH scattered clouds 44 1
Detroit, MI scattered clouds 47 1
Kansas City, MO overcast clouds 64 1
Milwaukee, WI clear sky 50 1
Philadelphia, PA overcast clouds 51 1
Pittsburgh, PA overcast clouds 48 1
St. Louis, MO clear sky 62 1
Toronto, ON broken clouds 39 1
Data last updated: 1743018967
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