Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple indication of how weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The HRFI demonstrates a strong correlation with HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand forecast data by team and game.

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HRF forecast value available for each contest, with detailed data throughout the game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Miami, FL few clouds 58 8
Los Angeles, CA clear sky 54 3
Phoenix, AZ clear sky 56 3
San Diego, CA clear sky 55 3
San Francisco, CA few clouds 52 3
Tampa Bay, FL clear sky 52 2
Williamsport, PA overcast clouds 25 1
Anaheim, CA clear sky 51 1
Arlington, TX clear sky 37 1
Atlanta, GA clear sky 31 1
Baltimore, MD few clouds 27 1
Boston, MA few clouds 26 1
Bronx, NY clear sky 29 1
Chicago (AL), IL few clouds 17 1
Chicago (NL), IL scattered clouds 18 1
Cincinnati, OH clear sky 18 1
Cleveland, OH light snow 26 1
Denver, CO clear sky 29 1
Detroit, MI clear sky 25 1
Houston, TX few clouds 48 1
Kansas City, MO scattered clouds 26 1
Milwaukee, WI overcast clouds 18 1
Minneapolis, MN overcast clouds 15 1
Oakland, CA few clouds 51 1
Philadelphia, PA few clouds 27 1
Pittsburgh, PA overcast clouds 24 1
Queens, NY few clouds 31 1
Seattle, WA overcast clouds 37 1
St. Louis, MO overcast clouds 25 1
Toronto, ON few clouds 25 1
Washington, DC clear sky 28 1
Data last updated: 1733144167
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