Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions can change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple way to see the if weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The Home Run Forecast Index demonstrates a strong correlation with the number of HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand HRFI forecast data by team and for each game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark LocationSky CoverTemperature (°F)Home Run Forecast Index™
Houston, TXovercast clouds787
Phoenix, AZmoderate rain696
Arlington, TXclear sky695
Anaheim, CAovercast clouds654
Las Vegas, NVclear sky604
Los Angeles, CAlight rain634
Miami, FLovercast clouds804
San Diego, CAmoderate rain654
Tampa Bay, FLovercast clouds754
Denver, COscattered clouds523
Kansas City, MOovercast clouds623
Sacramento, CAclear sky593
San Francisco, CAbroken clouds563
Tampa, FLovercast clouds733
Chicago (AL), ILbroken clouds572
Chicago (NL), ILbroken clouds572
Detroit, MIovercast clouds542
Milwaukee, WIscattered clouds522
Minneapolis, MNovercast clouds572
St. Louis, MObroken clouds652
Washington, DCclear sky522
Williamsport, PAclear sky421
Atlanta, GAclear sky621
Baltimore, MDbroken clouds501
Boston, MAclear sky411
Bronx, NYclear sky531
Cincinnati, OHovercast clouds621
Cleveland, OHclear sky501
Philadelphia, PAscattered clouds501
Pittsburgh, PAovercast clouds501
Queens, NYfew clouds541
Seattle, WAfew clouds471
Toronto, ONclear sky501
Data last updated: 1793501766
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