Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions can change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple way to see the if weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The Home Run Forecast Index demonstrates a strong correlation with the number of HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand HRFI forecast data by team and for each game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark LocationSky CoverTemperature (°F)Home Run Forecast Index™
Miami, FLbroken clouds767
Houston, TXbroken clouds736
Tampa Bay, FLclear sky705
Anaheim, CAlight rain654
Arlington, TXclear sky704
Chicago (NL), ILfew clouds604
Denver, COclear sky654
Kansas City, MOclear sky654
Los Angeles, CAfew clouds654
Phoenix, AZclear sky734
San Francisco, CAclear sky614
Las Vegas, NVfew clouds603
Minneapolis, MNscattered clouds673
Sacramento, CAclear sky643
San Diego, CAbroken clouds663
Tampa, FLclear sky683
Chicago (AL), ILfew clouds602
Cincinnati, OHclear sky542
Milwaukee, WIscattered clouds542
Williamsport, PAclear sky421
Atlanta, GAclear sky571
Baltimore, MDscattered clouds491
Boston, MAclear sky411
Bronx, NYclear sky531
Cleveland, OHclear sky491
Detroit, MIclear sky501
Philadelphia, PAbroken clouds491
Pittsburgh, PAfew clouds461
Queens, NYbroken clouds531
Seattle, WAclear sky471
St. Louis, MOfew clouds611
Toronto, ONclear sky481
Washington, DCclear sky481
Data last updated: 1792810567
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