Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions can change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple way to see the if weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The Home Run Forecast Index demonstrates a strong correlation with the number of HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand HRFI forecast data by team and for each game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark LocationSky CoverTemperature (°F)Home Run Forecast Index™
Atlanta, GAovercast clouds778
Tampa, FLscattered clouds848
Anaheim, CAclear sky657
Arlington, TXovercast clouds737
San Diego, CAbroken clouds657
Los Angeles, CAclear sky656
Miami, FLlight rain856
Houston, TXmoderate rain735
Mexico City, Mexicobroken clouds645
Phoenix, AZfew clouds775
Sacramento, CAclear sky695
San Francisco, CAfew clouds584
Tampa Bay, FLclear sky854
Baltimore, MDovercast clouds643
Denver, COscattered clouds553
Kansas City, MOovercast clouds613
Philadelphia, PAovercast clouds623
Seattle, WAclear sky553
St. Louis, MOclear sky643
Washington, DCovercast clouds663
Boston, MAovercast clouds652
Bronx, NYmoderate rain582
Cleveland, OHscattered clouds552
Pittsburgh, PAovercast clouds582
Queens, NYlight rain582
Chicago (AL), ILovercast clouds501
Chicago (NL), ILovercast clouds491
Cincinnati, OHovercast clouds571
Detroit, MIclear sky561
Milwaukee, WIclear sky471
Minneapolis, MNbroken clouds561
Toronto, ONbroken clouds531
Data last updated: 1779375369
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