Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions can change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple way to see the if weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The Home Run Forecast Index demonstrates a strong correlation with the number of HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand HRFI forecast data by team and for each game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark LocationSky CoverTemperature (°F)Home Run Forecast Index™
Miami, FLbroken clouds848
Kansas City, MOclear sky597
Phoenix, AZclear sky696
San Diego, CAclear sky736
Tampa, FLscattered clouds776
Bronx, NYbroken clouds575
Los Angeles, CAclear sky735
Tampa Bay, FLclear sky775
Anaheim, CAclear sky704
Atlanta, GAfew clouds614
Boston, MAlight rain544
Pittsburgh, PAscattered clouds524
San Francisco, CAovercast clouds584
St. Louis, MOclear sky594
Williamsport, PAovercast clouds533
Arlington, TXovercast clouds633
Baltimore, MDfew clouds603
Chicago (AL), ILscattered clouds543
Chicago (NL), ILfew clouds543
Cincinnati, OHfew clouds563
Denver, COclear sky553
Houston, TXlight rain643
Minneapolis, MNscattered clouds523
Philadelphia, PAbroken clouds583
Queens, NYbroken clouds573
Washington, DCbroken clouds613
Cleveland, OHbroken clouds501
Detroit, MIovercast clouds501
Las Vegas, NVclear sky501
Milwaukee, WIclear sky511
Sacramento, CAscattered clouds511
Seattle, WAscattered clouds451
Toronto, ONovercast clouds471
Data last updated: 1794239770
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