Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions can change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple way to see the if weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The Home Run Forecast Index demonstrates a strong correlation with the number of HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand HRFI forecast data by team and for each game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark LocationSky CoverTemperature (°F)Home Run Forecast Index™
Arlington, TXclear sky798
Cincinnati, OHscattered clouds798
Cleveland, OHbroken clouds698
Houston, TXovercast clouds818
Kansas City, MObroken clouds728
Phoenix, AZbroken clouds798
Pittsburgh, PAovercast clouds788
St. Louis, MObroken clouds748
Chicago (NL), ILovercast clouds577
Tampa, FLbroken clouds837
Anaheim, CAbroken clouds646
Denver, COclear sky655
Los Angeles, CAscattered clouds645
Tampa Bay, FLclear sky835
Atlanta, GAclear sky804
San Diego, CAbroken clouds654
San Francisco, CAfew clouds574
Chicago (AL), ILovercast clouds613
Miami, FLlight rain803
Sacramento, CAclear sky583
Baltimore, MDovercast clouds512
Washington, DCovercast clouds552
Boston, MAovercast clouds391
Bronx, NYovercast clouds441
Detroit, MIovercast clouds401
Milwaukee, WIlight rain381
Minneapolis, MNsnow341
Philadelphia, PAovercast clouds461
Queens, NYovercast clouds441
Seattle, WAovercast clouds471
Toronto, ONlight rain361
Data last updated: 1775152568
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