Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple indication of how weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The HRFI demonstrates a strong correlation with HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand forecast data by team and game.

The Home Run Forecast Index has been featured on

HRF PREMIUM IS NOW AVAILABLE

HRF Premium provides on-demand HRF forecast data using up to date weather information along with our trained model. Check out a preview below or view the pricing page for more information.

Premium Preview

HRF forecast value available for each contest, with detailed data throughout the game.

Premium Hourly Preview

Detailed weather data and hourly index data for each park.

Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Arlington, TX clear sky 89 10
Houston, TX few clouds 92 10
Miami, FL broken clouds 92 10
Phoenix, AZ scattered clouds 94 10
Cincinnati, OH broken clouds 72 9
Jupiter, FL clear sky 82 8
Anaheim, CA overcast clouds 66 8
Atlanta, GA broken clouds 78 8
Detroit, MI clear sky 73 8
Los Angeles, CA overcast clouds 66 8
San Francisco, CA few clouds 64 8
West Palm Beach, FL broken clouds 82 8
Baltimore, MD overcast clouds 65 7
Kansas City, MO broken clouds 70 7
Oakland, CA few clouds 68 7
Pittsburgh, PA broken clouds 75 7
St. Louis, MO few clouds 77 7
Dyersville, IA scattered clouds 73 6
Mexico City, México light rain 84 5
Boston, MA overcast clouds 65 5
Chicago (AL), IL clear sky 66 5
San Diego, CA overcast clouds 64 5
Seattle, WA broken clouds 73 5
Milwaukee, WI clear sky 64 4
Minneapolis, MN broken clouds 72 4
Tampa Bay, FL few clouds 83 4
Toronto, ON overcast clouds 65 4
Washington, DC overcast clouds 64 4
Williamsport, PA overcast clouds 63 4
Bronx, NY overcast clouds 61 3
Chicago (NL), IL clear sky 63 3
Cleveland, OH clear sky 67 3
Denver, CO broken clouds 66 3
Philadelphia, PA overcast clouds 62 3
Queens, NY overcast clouds 61 3
Data last updated: 1715810167
API Access

Add Home Run Forecast to Your Site or App

Give your audience a quick way to understand how weather will affect hitting distance. Enhance your game previews, picks and analysis with hourly forecasts up to two days out. When it comes to fantasy baseball or the sportsbook every edge counts.

swing-batter-home-run-forecast@2x