Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple indication of how weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The HRFI demonstrates a strong correlation with HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand forecast data by team and game.

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HRF forecast value available for each contest, with detailed data throughout the game.

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Detailed weather data and hourly index data for each park.

Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Phoenix, AZ clear sky 95 10
Jupiter, FL overcast clouds 84 8
West Palm Beach, FL overcast clouds 84 8
Arlington, TX clear sky 75 7
Kansas City, MO clear sky 71 7
San Francisco, CA few clouds 58 7
Mexico City, México scattered clouds 78 6
Anaheim, CA broken clouds 63 6
Houston, TX broken clouds 71 6
Miami, FL few clouds 84 6
St. Louis, MO clear sky 68 6
Dyersville, IA clear sky 67 5
Los Angeles, CA clear sky 63 5
Minneapolis, MN broken clouds 65 5
Atlanta, GA overcast clouds 68 4
Baltimore, MD overcast clouds 64 4
Bronx, NY few clouds 63 4
Chicago (NL), IL clear sky 63 4
Cincinnati, OH clear sky 65 4
Cleveland, OH few clouds 63 4
Detroit, MI overcast clouds 64 4
Oakland, CA few clouds 59 4
Philadelphia, PA broken clouds 61 4
Pittsburgh, PA overcast clouds 64 4
Queens, NY broken clouds 62 4
Tampa Bay, FL clear sky 82 4
Washington, DC overcast clouds 64 4
Williamsport, PA light rain 62 4
Boston, MA overcast clouds 55 3
Chicago (AL), IL clear sky 64 3
Denver, CO scattered clouds 70 3
Milwaukee, WI clear sky 58 3
San Diego, CA broken clouds 62 3
Seattle, WA overcast clouds 56 3
Toronto, ON overcast clouds 59 3
Data last updated: 1716000966
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