Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions can change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple way to see the if weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The Home Run Forecast Index demonstrates a strong correlation with the number of HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand HRFI forecast data by team and for each game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Sacramento, CA clear sky 86 10
Arlington, TX clear sky 86 10
Chicago (NL), IL broken clouds 85 10
Phoenix, AZ clear sky 102 10
Anaheim, CA clear sky 76 8
Baltimore, MD overcast clouds 74 8
Chicago (AL), IL broken clouds 84 8
Cleveland, OH clear sky 73 8
Houston, TX few clouds 84 8
Los Angeles, CA clear sky 76 8
Philadelphia, PA overcast clouds 73 8
Seattle, WA overcast clouds 70 8
St. Louis, MO clear sky 79 8
Tampa, FL broken clouds 81 8
Toronto, ON clear sky 69 8
Milwaukee, WI clear sky 75 7
San Diego, CA clear sky 71 7
San Francisco, CA few clouds 60 7
Washington, DC overcast clouds 75 7
Boston, MA overcast clouds 67 6
Detroit, MI clear sky 77 6
Queens, NY overcast clouds 65 6
Atlanta, GA scattered clouds 72 5
Cincinnati, OH clear sky 75 5
Kansas City, MO clear sky 69 5
Minneapolis, MN broken clouds 70 5
Pittsburgh, PA overcast clouds 72 5
Bronx, NY overcast clouds 66 4
Miami, FL scattered clouds 83 4
Denver, CO overcast clouds 58 3
Data last updated: 1750215366
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