Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions can change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple way to see the if weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The Home Run Forecast Index demonstrates a strong correlation with the number of HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand HRFI forecast data by team and for each game.

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HRF forecast value available for each contest, with detailed data throughout the game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Arlington, TX clear sky 87 10
Phoenix, AZ clear sky 105 10
Sacramento, CA clear sky 80 8
Anaheim, CA clear sky 77 8
Houston, TX overcast clouds 80 8
Kansas City, MO clear sky 77 8
Los Angeles, CA clear sky 75 8
Minneapolis, MN overcast clouds 70 8
San Francisco, CA clear sky 58 8
Tampa, FL clear sky 81 8
Chicago (NL), IL overcast clouds 73 7
Cleveland, OH overcast clouds 72 7
Atlanta, GA clear sky 77 6
Cincinnati, OH overcast clouds 75 6
San Diego, CA clear sky 72 6
Chicago (AL), IL overcast clouds 73 5
Denver, CO overcast clouds 77 5
Pittsburgh, PA overcast clouds 72 5
St. Louis, MO overcast clouds 74 5
Baltimore, MD overcast clouds 67 4
Boston, MA overcast clouds 61 4
Detroit, MI scattered clouds 71 4
Milwaukee, WI clear sky 71 4
Philadelphia, PA overcast clouds 63 4
Queens, NY overcast clouds 64 4
Seattle, WA broken clouds 66 4
Toronto, ON clear sky 65 4
Washington, DC overcast clouds 67 4
Bronx, NY moderate rain 63 3
Miami, FL clear sky 82 3
Data last updated: 1750128966
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