Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions can change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple way to see the if weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The Home Run Forecast Index demonstrates a strong correlation with the number of HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand HRFI forecast data by team and for each game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark LocationSky CoverTemperature (°F)Home Run Forecast Index™
Miami, FLmoderate rain798
Sacramento, CAclear sky778
Tampa, FLbroken clouds768
Phoenix, AZbroken clouds857
Anaheim, CAclear sky646
Houston, TXovercast clouds725
San Francisco, CAbroken clouds575
Tampa Bay, FLscattered clouds765
Atlanta, GAclear sky604
Los Angeles, CAclear sky634
San Diego, CAscattered clouds624
Seattle, WAscattered clouds654
St. Louis, MOovercast clouds584
Arlington, TXovercast clouds623
Baltimore, MDfew clouds513
Boston, MAovercast clouds523
Bronx, NYovercast clouds553
Kansas City, MOclear sky533
Mexico City, Mexicobroken clouds773
Philadelphia, PAscattered clouds533
Queens, NYovercast clouds553
Washington, DCfew clouds523
Chicago (AL), ILmoderate rain411
Chicago (NL), ILmoderate rain411
Cincinnati, OHclear sky471
Cleveland, OHclear sky441
Denver, COovercast clouds441
Detroit, MIfew clouds461
Milwaukee, WIlight rain411
Minneapolis, MNovercast clouds461
Pittsburgh, PAclear sky411
Toronto, ONbroken clouds461
Data last updated: 1777604169
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