Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions can change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple way to see the if weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The Home Run Forecast Index demonstrates a strong correlation with the number of HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand HRFI forecast data by team and for each game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Arlington, TX clear sky 90 10
Atlanta, GA broken clouds 86 10
Houston, TX scattered clouds 90 10
Phoenix, AZ clear sky 104 10
Tampa, FL broken clouds 90 10
Anaheim, CA clear sky 80 8
Chicago (NL), IL scattered clouds 83 8
Cincinnati, OH broken clouds 83 8
Cleveland, OH broken clouds 80 8
Kansas City, MO clear sky 84 8
Los Angeles, CA clear sky 79 8
Minneapolis, MN broken clouds 78 8
San Diego, CA clear sky 75 8
St. Louis, MO overcast clouds 76 8
Denver, CO few clouds 90 7
Miami, FL few clouds 89 7
Toronto, ON broken clouds 71 7
Sacramento, CA clear sky 71 6
Chicago (AL), IL scattered clouds 84 6
Detroit, MI clear sky 79 6
Pittsburgh, PA overcast clouds 74 6
San Francisco, CA overcast clouds 57 6
Seattle, WA clear sky 64 6
Boston, MA clear sky 72 5
Milwaukee, WI clear sky 80 5
Queens, NY overcast clouds 64 5
Washington, DC overcast clouds 66 5
Baltimore, MD moderate rain 65 4
Bronx, NY overcast clouds 64 4
Philadelphia, PA overcast clouds 66 4
Data last updated: 1750096567
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