Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions can change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple way to see the if weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The Home Run Forecast Index demonstrates a strong correlation with the number of HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand HRFI forecast data by team and for each game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Sacramento, CA clear sky 78 8
Anaheim, CA clear sky 71 8
Boston, MA broken clouds 66 8
Bronx, NY broken clouds 74 8
Houston, TX moderate rain 77 8
Los Angeles, CA clear sky 67 8
Philadelphia, PA scattered clouds 79 8
Phoenix, AZ few clouds 93 8
San Francisco, CA broken clouds 60 8
Seattle, WA scattered clouds 69 8
Tampa, FL broken clouds 80 8
Washington, DC scattered clouds 80 8
Baltimore, MD clear sky 76 7
Pittsburgh, PA broken clouds 63 7
Detroit, MI overcast clouds 63 6
Queens, NY broken clouds 72 6
St. Louis, MO clear sky 65 6
Atlanta, GA broken clouds 78 5
Cleveland, OH clear sky 66 5
Cincinnati, OH overcast clouds 63 4
San Diego, CA broken clouds 65 4
Arlington, TX broken clouds 67 3
Denver, CO few clouds 65 3
Kansas City, MO overcast clouds 54 3
Miami, FL scattered clouds 78 3
Toronto, ON broken clouds 63 3
Chicago (AL), IL broken clouds 49 1
Chicago (NL), IL broken clouds 48 1
Milwaukee, WI clear sky 48 1
Minneapolis, MN overcast clouds 50 1
Data last updated: 1746230166
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