Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions can change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple way to see the if weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The Home Run Forecast Index demonstrates a strong correlation with the number of HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand HRFI forecast data by team and for each game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Phoenix, AZ few clouds 90 10
Tampa, FL scattered clouds 85 10
Miami, FL few clouds 88 9
Bristol, TN overcast clouds 71 8
Arlington, TX clear sky 77 8
Baltimore, MD broken clouds 82 8
Boston, MA few clouds 80 8
Bronx, NY clear sky 83 8
Chicago (AL), IL few clouds 75 8
Cincinnati, OH scattered clouds 77 8
Cleveland, OH clear sky 74 8
Detroit, MI overcast clouds 73 8
Houston, TX few clouds 84 8
Milwaukee, WI clear sky 72 8
Philadelphia, PA overcast clouds 82 8
Pittsburgh, PA overcast clouds 75 8
Queens, NY broken clouds 83 8
Toronto, ON few clouds 74 8
Washington, DC overcast clouds 80 8
Atlanta, GA overcast clouds 76 7
Kansas City, MO clear sky 74 7
Minneapolis, MN clear sky 68 7
Seattle, WA clear sky 63 7
St. Louis, MO clear sky 77 7
Anaheim, CA overcast clouds 67 6
San Diego, CA overcast clouds 65 6
Sacramento, CA broken clouds 59 5
Chicago (NL), IL few clouds 75 5
Denver, CO clear sky 72 5
Los Angeles, CA overcast clouds 66 5
San Francisco, CA overcast clouds 59 5
Data last updated: 1755093367
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