Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions can change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple way to see the if weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The Home Run Forecast Index demonstrates a strong correlation with the number of HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand HRFI forecast data by team and for each game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Arlington, TX clear sky 102 10
Atlanta, GA broken clouds 91 10
Baltimore, MD broken clouds 86 10
Houston, TX overcast clouds 92 10
Phoenix, AZ few clouds 105 10
Tampa, FL clear sky 92 10
Sacramento, CA clear sky 80 8
Anaheim, CA clear sky 78 8
Chicago (AL), IL few clouds 74 8
Cincinnati, OH overcast clouds 79 8
Los Angeles, CA clear sky 80 8
Philadelphia, PA very heavy rain 83 8
Pittsburgh, PA overcast clouds 74 8
Queens, NY light rain 83 8
San Diego, CA few clouds 75 8
San Francisco, CA few clouds 68 8
Toronto, ON broken clouds 73 8
Washington, DC broken clouds 84 8
Detroit, MI clear sky 73 7
Miami, FL broken clouds 92 7
Seattle, WA few clouds 74 7
Bronx, NY light rain 83 6
Denver, CO clear sky 82 6
Milwaukee, WI scattered clouds 74 6
Boston, MA overcast clouds 69 4
Cleveland, OH overcast clouds 66 4
Kansas City, MO overcast clouds 74 4
St. Louis, MO broken clouds 76 4
Minneapolis, MN clear sky 77 3
Chicago (NL), IL few clouds 74 1
Data last updated: 1753988166
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