Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions can change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple way to see the if weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The Home Run Forecast Index demonstrates a strong correlation with the number of HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand HRFI forecast data by team and for each game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark LocationSky CoverTemperature (°F)Home Run Forecast Index™
Arlington, TXscattered clouds9010
Houston, TXscattered clouds8710
Tampa, FLbroken clouds869
Cleveland, OHbroken clouds718
Kansas City, MOscattered clouds768
St. Louis, MOlight rain698
Anaheim, CAbroken clouds637
Cincinnati, OHovercast clouds787
Los Angeles, CAbroken clouds637
Miami, FLlight rain857
Mexico City, Mexicofew clouds806
San Francisco, CAscattered clouds606
Philadelphia, PAscattered clouds705
Phoenix, AZfew clouds755
Tampa Bay, FLclear sky865
Atlanta, GAfew clouds724
Chicago (NL), ILheavy intensity rain574
Minneapolis, MNmoderate rain564
Sacramento, CAfew clouds614
San Diego, CAbroken clouds644
Seattle, WAovercast clouds524
Baltimore, MDclear sky693
Chicago (AL), ILheavy intensity rain583
Detroit, MIclear sky663
Milwaukee, WIlight rain553
Pittsburgh, PAovercast clouds723
Toronto, ONbroken clouds623
Washington, DCscattered clouds693
Queens, NYclear sky662
Boston, MAclear sky641
Bronx, NYclear sky671
Denver, COovercast clouds441
Data last updated: 1777316167
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