Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions can change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple way to see the if weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The Home Run Forecast Index demonstrates a strong correlation with the number of HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand HRFI forecast data by team and for each game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Sacramento, CA clear sky 92 10
Arlington, TX clear sky 89 10
Houston, TX clear sky 88 10
Phoenix, AZ clear sky 103 10
Anaheim, CA clear sky 82 8
Atlanta, GA clear sky 75 8
Chicago (AL), IL broken clouds 68 8
Los Angeles, CA clear sky 82 8
Miami, FL overcast clouds 80 8
Philadelphia, PA broken clouds 73 8
Queens, NY broken clouds 72 8
San Diego, CA scattered clouds 77 8
San Francisco, CA few clouds 63 8
Tampa, FL overcast clouds 79 8
Washington, DC clear sky 75 8
Baltimore, MD broken clouds 74 7
Boston, MA broken clouds 70 7
Bronx, NY clear sky 73 7
Detroit, MI scattered clouds 67 7
Milwaukee, WI clear sky 60 7
Seattle, WA clear sky 84 7
Cincinnati, OH clear sky 68 6
Pittsburgh, PA scattered clouds 72 6
Kansas City, MO clear sky 69 5
Cleveland, OH scattered clouds 66 4
Denver, CO overcast clouds 66 4
Toronto, ON clear sky 72 4
Chicago (NL), IL scattered clouds 67 3
Minneapolis, MN overcast clouds 63 3
St. Louis, MO clear sky 68 3
Data last updated: 1756086966
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