Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple indication of how weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The HRFI demonstrates a strong correlation with HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand forecast data by team and game.

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HRF forecast value available for each contest, with detailed data throughout the game.

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Detailed weather data and hourly index data for each park.

Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Washington, DC clear sky 86 10
Baltimore, MD few clouds 84 8
Bronx, NY clear sky 80 8
Chicago (NL), IL overcast clouds 65 8
Cincinnati, OH clear sky 78 8
Cleveland, OH scattered clouds 79 8
Dyersville, IA broken clouds 59 8
Philadelphia, PA broken clouds 83 8
Pittsburgh, PA clear sky 79 8
St. Louis, MO overcast clouds 64 8
West Palm Beach, FL broken clouds 79 8
Williamsport, PA clear sky 79 8
Jupiter, FL broken clouds 79 7
Arlington, TX broken clouds 69 6
Queens, NY few clouds 78 6
Houston, TX broken clouds 73 5
Los Angeles, CA clear sky 64 5
Phoenix, AZ clear sky 75 5
San Diego, CA broken clouds 59 5
Anaheim, CA few clouds 61 4
Atlanta, GA scattered clouds 72 4
Chicago (AL), IL broken clouds 65 4
Detroit, MI few clouds 75 4
Kansas City, MO clear sky 63 4
Miami, FL scattered clouds 80 4
Milwaukee, WI overcast clouds 63 4
Tampa Bay, FL clear sky 81 4
Boston, MA broken clouds 67 3
Denver, CO scattered clouds 58 3
Oakland, CA few clouds 55 3
San Francisco, CA few clouds 56 3
Mexico City, México clear sky 71 2
Minneapolis, MN overcast clouds 47 1
Seattle, WA overcast clouds 41 1
Toronto, ON overcast clouds 48 1
Data last updated: 1714406166
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