Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple indication of how weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The HRFI demonstrates a strong correlation with HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand forecast data by team and game.

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HRF forecast value available for each contest, with detailed data throughout the game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Phoenix, AZ few clouds 85 10
Mexico City, México clear sky 86 9
Anaheim, CA overcast clouds 66 8
Arlington, TX scattered clouds 82 8
Houston, TX overcast clouds 79 8
Los Angeles, CA broken clouds 65 8
Minneapolis, MN few clouds 66 8
Pittsburgh, PA few clouds 83 8
San Francisco, CA few clouds 67 8
Williamsport, PA clear sky 75 8
San Diego, CA overcast clouds 67 7
Atlanta, GA broken clouds 84 6
Cincinnati, OH overcast clouds 71 6
Denver, CO overcast clouds 73 6
Milwaukee, WI clear sky 70 6
Oakland, CA few clouds 66 6
West Palm Beach, FL scattered clouds 84 6
Jupiter, FL few clouds 84 5
Baltimore, MD broken clouds 69 5
Chicago (AL), IL broken clouds 66 5
Miami, FL scattered clouds 85 5
Philadelphia, PA broken clouds 65 5
St. Louis, MO overcast clouds 71 5
Tampa Bay, FL clear sky 85 5
Washington, DC broken clouds 74 5
Detroit, MI overcast clouds 65 4
Dyersville, IA clear sky 69 4
Kansas City, MO clear sky 71 4
Seattle, WA clear sky 65 4
Chicago (NL), IL broken clouds 64 3
Cleveland, OH overcast clouds 65 3
Queens, NY few clouds 61 3
Toronto, ON light rain 58 3
Boston, MA few clouds 58 1
Bronx, NY scattered clouds 61 1
Data last updated: 1714762566
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