Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple indication of how weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The HRFI demonstrates a strong correlation with HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand forecast data by team and game.

The Home Run Forecast Index has been featured on

HRF PREMIUM IS NOW AVAILABLE

HRF Premium provides on-demand HRF forecast data using up to date weather information along with our trained model. Check out a preview below or view the pricing page for more information.

Premium Preview

HRF forecast value available for each contest, with detailed data throughout the game.

Premium Hourly Preview

Detailed weather data and hourly index data for each park.

Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Arlington, TX overcast clouds 65 8
Chicago (NL), IL overcast clouds 64 8
Cincinnati, OH few clouds 75 8
Cleveland, OH broken clouds 74 8
Houston, TX overcast clouds 77 8
Pittsburgh, PA scattered clouds 75 8
St. Louis, MO clear sky 70 8
West Palm Beach, FL scattered clouds 77 7
Toronto, ON light rain 64 6
Baltimore, MD few clouds 65 5
Bronx, NY scattered clouds 59 5
Tampa Bay, FL clear sky 77 5
Washington, DC scattered clouds 69 5
Jupiter, FL overcast clouds 78 4
Anaheim, CA few clouds 56 4
Boston, MA broken clouds 54 4
Chicago (AL), IL overcast clouds 65 4
Detroit, MI overcast clouds 63 4
Dyersville, IA light rain 60 4
Kansas City, MO scattered clouds 61 4
Philadelphia, PA broken clouds 62 4
Phoenix, AZ few clouds 67 4
San Diego, CA broken clouds 56 4
Williamsport, PA overcast clouds 60 4
Los Angeles, CA clear sky 58 3
Miami, FL broken clouds 77 3
Oakland, CA scattered clouds 53 3
Queens, NY broken clouds 57 3
San Francisco, CA scattered clouds 52 3
Mexico City, México clear sky 71 2
Atlanta, GA scattered clouds 68 2
Denver, CO overcast clouds 40 1
Milwaukee, WI light rain 49 1
Minneapolis, MN overcast clouds 48 1
Seattle, WA overcast clouds 48 1
Data last updated: 1714316166
API Access

Add Home Run Forecast to Your Site or App

Give your audience a quick way to understand how weather will affect hitting distance. Enhance your game previews, picks and analysis with hourly forecasts up to two days out. When it comes to fantasy baseball or the sportsbook every edge counts.

swing-batter-home-run-forecast@2x