Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple indication of how weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The HRFI demonstrates a strong correlation with HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand forecast data by team and game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Arlington, TX broken clouds 94 10
Houston, TX clear sky 90 10
Phoenix, AZ few clouds 92 10
St. Louis, MO clear sky 87 10
Anaheim, CA scattered clouds 72 8
Cincinnati, OH clear sky 84 8
Los Angeles, CA clear sky 71 8
Milwaukee, WI clear sky 75 8
San Francisco, CA few clouds 60 8
Atlanta, GA few clouds 81 7
Chicago (AL), IL clear sky 77 7
Chicago (NL), IL clear sky 79 7
Cleveland, OH clear sky 74 7
Kansas City, MO few clouds 87 7
Miami, FL broken clouds 83 7
Oakland, CA few clouds 65 7
Philadelphia, PA broken clouds 73 7
Pittsburgh, PA scattered clouds 76 7
Minneapolis, MN clear sky 70 6
Washington, DC clear sky 74 6
San Diego, CA scattered clouds 70 5
Williamsport, PA few clouds 66 4
Baltimore, MD few clouds 73 4
Denver, CO few clouds 78 4
Detroit, MI few clouds 73 4
Tampa Bay, FL few clouds 84 4
Toronto, ON broken clouds 70 4
Boston, MA overcast clouds 61 3
Bronx, NY clear sky 71 3
Queens, NY few clouds 72 3
Seattle, WA broken clouds 64 3
Data last updated: 1726880168
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