Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple indication of how weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The HRFI demonstrates a strong correlation with HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand forecast data by team and game.

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HRF forecast value available for each contest, with detailed data throughout the game.

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Detailed weather data and hourly index data for each park.

Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Mexico City, México broken clouds 87 10
Denver, CO broken clouds 73 9
Anaheim, CA clear sky 65 8
Arlington, TX clear sky 79 8
Atlanta, GA broken clouds 84 8
Cincinnati, OH scattered clouds 77 8
Houston, TX moderate rain 74 8
Oakland, CA few clouds 59 8
Phoenix, AZ broken clouds 81 8
Pittsburgh, PA overcast clouds 77 8
San Francisco, CA few clouds 59 8
Washington, DC overcast clouds 67 8
West Palm Beach, FL scattered clouds 84 8
St. Louis, MO broken clouds 71 6
Toronto, ON overcast clouds 63 6
Jupiter, FL scattered clouds 84 5
Cleveland, OH broken clouds 70 5
Detroit, MI overcast clouds 61 5
Los Angeles, CA broken clouds 63 5
Minneapolis, MN clear sky 68 5
Philadelphia, PA overcast clouds 57 5
Tampa Bay, FL clear sky 86 5
Baltimore, MD overcast clouds 64 4
Chicago (AL), IL broken clouds 62 4
Dyersville, IA overcast clouds 66 4
Miami, FL broken clouds 83 4
Boston, MA light rain 52 3
Chicago (NL), IL broken clouds 60 3
Kansas City, MO light rain 58 3
Milwaukee, WI clear sky 63 3
San Diego, CA scattered clouds 62 3
Williamsport, PA overcast clouds 54 3
Queens, NY moderate rain 51 2
Seattle, WA overcast clouds 50 2
Bronx, NY moderate rain 51 1
Data last updated: 1714938967
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