Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple indication of how weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The HRFI demonstrates a strong correlation with HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand forecast data by team and game.

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HRF forecast value available for each contest, with detailed data throughout the game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Anaheim, CA few clouds 69 8
Arlington, TX broken clouds 74 8
Baltimore, MD few clouds 79 8
Bronx, NY clear sky 73 8
Chicago (NL), IL broken clouds 76 8
Cincinnati, OH scattered clouds 82 8
Cleveland, OH overcast clouds 77 8
Houston, TX broken clouds 83 8
Kansas City, MO overcast clouds 65 8
Los Angeles, CA clear sky 69 8
Philadelphia, PA broken clouds 77 8
Pittsburgh, PA broken clouds 81 8
Queens, NY broken clouds 70 8
St. Louis, MO few clouds 74 8
Washington, DC few clouds 83 8
West Palm Beach, FL broken clouds 80 8
Williamsport, PA clear sky 74 8
Boston, MA broken clouds 66 7
Detroit, MI overcast clouds 71 7
Oakland, CA few clouds 65 7
San Diego, CA few clouds 68 7
San Francisco, CA few clouds 62 7
Jupiter, FL broken clouds 80 5
Chicago (AL), IL broken clouds 74 5
Phoenix, AZ few clouds 80 5
Seattle, WA light rain 53 5
Miami, FL broken clouds 80 4
Tampa Bay, FL scattered clouds 84 4
Toronto, ON overcast clouds 64 4
Mexico City, México clear sky 78 3
Denver, CO few clouds 53 3
Dyersville, IA overcast clouds 60 3
Atlanta, GA broken clouds 78 2
Milwaukee, WI overcast clouds 45 1
Minneapolis, MN moderate rain 46 1
Data last updated: 1714330566
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