Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions can change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple way to see the if weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The Home Run Forecast Index demonstrates a strong correlation with the number of HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand HRFI forecast data by team and for each game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Arlington, TX scattered clouds 92 10
Atlanta, GA few clouds 86 10
Baltimore, MD scattered clouds 86 10
Cincinnati, OH scattered clouds 86 10
Denver, CO clear sky 97 10
Houston, TX broken clouds 93 10
Kansas City, MO clear sky 93 10
Phoenix, AZ clear sky 104 10
St. Louis, MO clear sky 91 10
Tampa, FL clear sky 88 10
Washington, DC few clouds 85 10
Sacramento, CA clear sky 71 8
Anaheim, CA overcast clouds 74 8
Boston, MA scattered clouds 83 8
Bronx, NY scattered clouds 83 8
Chicago (AL), IL broken clouds 83 8
Chicago (NL), IL broken clouds 83 8
Cleveland, OH overcast clouds 80 8
Detroit, MI broken clouds 79 8
Los Angeles, CA overcast clouds 70 8
Milwaukee, WI broken clouds 82 8
Minneapolis, MN scattered clouds 82 8
Philadelphia, PA scattered clouds 83 8
Pittsburgh, PA scattered clouds 83 8
Queens, NY scattered clouds 83 8
San Diego, CA clear sky 72 8
San Francisco, CA few clouds 62 8
Toronto, ON broken clouds 77 8
Miami, FL scattered clouds 90 7
Seattle, WA overcast clouds 58 6
Data last updated: 1750445767
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