Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple indication of how weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The HRFI demonstrates a strong correlation with HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand forecast data by team and game.

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HRF forecast value available for each contest, with detailed data throughout the game.

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Detailed weather data and hourly index data for each park.

Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Anaheim, CA scattered clouds 62 8
Arlington, TX overcast clouds 75 8
Atlanta, GA broken clouds 82 8
Cincinnati, OH broken clouds 77 8
Cleveland, OH overcast clouds 69 8
Detroit, MI overcast clouds 66 8
Houston, TX scattered clouds 78 8
Los Angeles, CA broken clouds 59 8
Phoenix, AZ broken clouds 78 8
Pittsburgh, PA broken clouds 73 8
West Palm Beach, FL broken clouds 84 8
Washington, DC overcast clouds 64 7
Mexico City, México scattered clouds 82 6
Jupiter, FL clear sky 85 5
Denver, CO broken clouds 64 5
Minneapolis, MN clear sky 67 5
Philadelphia, PA light rain 55 5
San Francisco, CA scattered clouds 56 5
Tampa Bay, FL clear sky 86 5
Toronto, ON overcast clouds 58 5
Baltimore, MD overcast clouds 62 4
Chicago (AL), IL broken clouds 59 4
Miami, FL broken clouds 83 4
Oakland, CA scattered clouds 55 4
St. Louis, MO scattered clouds 69 4
Chicago (NL), IL broken clouds 57 3
Dyersville, IA overcast clouds 63 3
Kansas City, MO light rain 59 3
Milwaukee, WI clear sky 61 3
San Diego, CA few clouds 62 3
Williamsport, PA overcast clouds 53 3
Boston, MA overcast clouds 52 2
Bronx, NY moderate rain 51 2
Queens, NY light rain 51 2
Seattle, WA light rain 49 2
Data last updated: 1714931766
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