Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions can change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple way to see the if weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The Home Run Forecast Index demonstrates a strong correlation with the number of HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand HRFI forecast data by team and for each game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Arlington, TX broken clouds 89 10
Denver, CO clear sky 91 10
Houston, TX scattered clouds 91 10
Kansas City, MO clear sky 89 10
Phoenix, AZ clear sky 99 10
St. Louis, MO clear sky 88 10
Tampa, FL broken clouds 86 10
Anaheim, CA overcast clouds 68 8
Atlanta, GA scattered clouds 84 8
Baltimore, MD few clouds 83 8
Boston, MA scattered clouds 80 8
Bronx, NY few clouds 80 8
Chicago (AL), IL overcast clouds 77 8
Chicago (NL), IL overcast clouds 76 8
Cincinnati, OH scattered clouds 84 8
Cleveland, OH scattered clouds 81 8
Detroit, MI broken clouds 79 8
Los Angeles, CA overcast clouds 66 8
Milwaukee, WI overcast clouds 76 8
Minneapolis, MN broken clouds 79 8
Philadelphia, PA scattered clouds 80 8
Pittsburgh, PA few clouds 79 8
Queens, NY few clouds 81 8
San Diego, CA overcast clouds 68 8
San Francisco, CA scattered clouds 59 8
Toronto, ON scattered clouds 72 8
Washington, DC few clouds 83 8
Miami, FL broken clouds 89 7
Sacramento, CA clear sky 63 6
Seattle, WA overcast clouds 55 4
Data last updated: 1750438565
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