Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions can change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple way to see the if weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The Home Run Forecast Index demonstrates a strong correlation with the number of HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand HRFI forecast data by team and for each game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Baltimore, MD overcast clouds 68 8
Boston, MA overcast clouds 73 8
Philadelphia, PA overcast clouds 69 8
Phoenix, AZ broken clouds 74 8
Queens, NY broken clouds 68 8
Tampa, FL broken clouds 81 8
Washington, DC overcast clouds 69 8
Houston, TX clear sky 75 7
Atlanta, GA broken clouds 63 6
Pittsburgh, PA overcast clouds 63 6
San Diego, CA overcast clouds 55 6
Arlington, TX clear sky 71 5
Bronx, NY broken clouds 69 5
Miami, FL broken clouds 84 5
Minneapolis, MN clear sky 71 5
Anaheim, CA overcast clouds 57 4
Chicago (AL), IL broken clouds 52 4
Los Angeles, CA overcast clouds 57 4
San Francisco, CA few clouds 55 4
Sacramento, CA clear sky 61 3
Chicago (NL), IL broken clouds 52 3
Cincinnati, OH overcast clouds 51 3
Cleveland, OH overcast clouds 53 3
Denver, CO clear sky 63 3
Detroit, MI light rain 52 3
Kansas City, MO clear sky 61 3
Milwaukee, WI clear sky 55 3
St. Louis, MO overcast clouds 56 3
Toronto, ON broken clouds 57 3
Seattle, WA overcast clouds 49 1
Data last updated: 1746374169
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