Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple indication of how weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The HRFI demonstrates a strong correlation with HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand forecast data by team and game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Baltimore, MD few clouds 87 10
Cincinnati, OH scattered clouds 86 10
Washington, DC few clouds 89 10
Philadelphia, PA scattered clouds 86 9
Anaheim, CA scattered clouds 71 8
Arlington, TX overcast clouds 79 8
Bronx, NY few clouds 79 8
Chicago (NL), IL overcast clouds 77 8
Dyersville, IA overcast clouds 64 8
Houston, TX few clouds 76 8
Los Angeles, CA broken clouds 72 8
Oakland, CA few clouds 70 8
Phoenix, AZ few clouds 89 8
Pittsburgh, PA clear sky 83 8
San Diego, CA broken clouds 69 8
San Francisco, CA few clouds 68 8
St. Louis, MO few clouds 82 8
Chicago (AL), IL overcast clouds 76 7
West Palm Beach, FL scattered clouds 82 7
Williamsport, PA clear sky 88 6
Atlanta, GA scattered clouds 84 5
Cleveland, OH clear sky 69 5
Miami, FL scattered clouds 82 5
Jupiter, FL scattered clouds 82 4
Mexico City, México overcast clouds 82 4
Detroit, MI clear sky 70 4
Kansas City, MO light rain 62 4
Tampa Bay, FL clear sky 84 4
Toronto, ON clear sky 67 4
Boston, MA broken clouds 60 3
Denver, CO broken clouds 60 3
Milwaukee, WI clear sky 58 3
Minneapolis, MN overcast clouds 52 3
Queens, NY few clouds 74 3
Seattle, WA clear sky 64 3
Data last updated: 1714686966
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