Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple indication of how weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The HRFI demonstrates a strong correlation with HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand forecast data by team and game.

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HRF forecast value available for each contest, with detailed data throughout the game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Mexico City, México clear sky 80 8
Arlington, TX overcast clouds 72 8
Atlanta, GA broken clouds 70 8
Cleveland, OH overcast clouds 69 8
Houston, TX few clouds 80 8
St. Louis, MO clear sky 75 8
West Palm Beach, FL scattered clouds 84 8
Kansas City, MO broken clouds 64 7
Los Angeles, CA overcast clouds 59 7
Chicago (NL), IL broken clouds 68 6
Phoenix, AZ few clouds 77 6
San Diego, CA overcast clouds 61 6
Jupiter, FL broken clouds 83 5
Anaheim, CA overcast clouds 60 5
Chicago (AL), IL broken clouds 73 5
Dyersville, IA overcast clouds 58 5
San Francisco, CA moderate rain 54 5
Toronto, ON scattered clouds 66 5
Cincinnati, OH light rain 67 4
Detroit, MI broken clouds 66 4
Miami, FL broken clouds 84 4
Oakland, CA moderate rain 55 4
Tampa Bay, FL clear sky 83 4
Milwaukee, WI clear sky 66 3
Pittsburgh, PA overcast clouds 64 3
Queens, NY broken clouds 60 3
Seattle, WA light rain 52 3
Baltimore, MD overcast clouds 55 2
Boston, MA broken clouds 54 2
Philadelphia, PA light rain 55 2
Washington, DC overcast clouds 55 2
Williamsport, PA overcast clouds 59 2
Bronx, NY overcast clouds 61 1
Denver, CO clear sky 45 1
Minneapolis, MN overcast clouds 47 1
Data last updated: 1714838168
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