Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple indication of how weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The HRFI demonstrates a strong correlation with HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand forecast data by team and game.

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HRF forecast value available for each contest, with detailed data throughout the game.

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Detailed weather data and hourly index data for each park.

Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Arlington, TX overcast clouds 73 8
Boston, MA broken clouds 60 8
Houston, TX broken clouds 77 8
West Palm Beach, FL broken clouds 82 8
Jupiter, FL clear sky 82 6
Atlanta, GA broken clouds 69 6
Baltimore, MD overcast clouds 67 6
Kansas City, MO overcast clouds 60 6
Washington, DC overcast clouds 67 6
Cincinnati, OH overcast clouds 65 5
Pittsburgh, PA overcast clouds 64 5
Tampa Bay, FL clear sky 78 5
Cleveland, OH few clouds 60 4
Miami, FL broken clouds 82 4
Philadelphia, PA overcast clouds 62 4
Queens, NY overcast clouds 58 4
St. Louis, MO overcast clouds 63 4
Williamsport, PA overcast clouds 58 4
Anaheim, CA few clouds 53 3
Bronx, NY overcast clouds 56 3
Chicago (AL), IL broken clouds 56 3
Chicago (NL), IL broken clouds 54 3
Detroit, MI clear sky 56 3
Dyersville, IA clear sky 58 3
Los Angeles, CA clear sky 52 3
Milwaukee, WI broken clouds 59 3
Minneapolis, MN clear sky 59 3
Phoenix, AZ few clouds 61 3
San Diego, CA few clouds 52 3
Toronto, ON clear sky 57 3
Mexico City, México overcast clouds 68 2
Denver, CO scattered clouds 49 2
Oakland, CA few clouds 46 1
San Francisco, CA few clouds 47 1
Seattle, WA scattered clouds 48 1
Data last updated: 1715003767
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