Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple indication of how weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The HRFI demonstrates a strong correlation with HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand forecast data by team and game.

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HRF forecast value available for each contest, with detailed data throughout the game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Anaheim, CA clear sky 73 8
Arlington, TX clear sky 80 8
Chicago (AL), IL broken clouds 68 8
Chicago (NL), IL overcast clouds 67 8
Houston, TX clear sky 79 8
Los Angeles, CA clear sky 71 8
Oakland, CA few clouds 64 8
Philadelphia, PA scattered clouds 77 8
San Francisco, CA few clouds 62 8
Washington, DC few clouds 78 8
Williamsport, PA clear sky 79 8
Baltimore, MD scattered clouds 79 7
Kansas City, MO clear sky 72 7
Phoenix, AZ clear sky 90 7
Queens, NY broken clouds 67 7
West Palm Beach, FL broken clouds 74 7
San Diego, CA few clouds 68 6
St. Louis, MO clear sky 69 6
Cincinnati, OH overcast clouds 71 5
Cleveland, OH overcast clouds 68 5
Detroit, MI light rain 65 5
Dyersville, IA overcast clouds 54 5
Milwaukee, WI broken clouds 62 5
Tampa Bay, FL few clouds 76 5
Jupiter, FL overcast clouds 74 4
Atlanta, GA broken clouds 70 4
Bronx, NY broken clouds 67 4
Denver, CO overcast clouds 65 4
Pittsburgh, PA scattered clouds 72 4
Mexico City, México broken clouds 80 3
Boston, MA broken clouds 58 3
Miami, FL few clouds 76 3
Minneapolis, MN overcast clouds 47 1
Seattle, WA light rain 50 1
Toronto, ON few clouds 50 1
Data last updated: 1714438567
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