Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple indication of how weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The HRFI demonstrates a strong correlation with HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand forecast data by team and game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Anaheim, CA few clouds 63 8
Arlington, TX broken clouds 78 8
Cincinnati, OH broken clouds 77 8
Houston, TX broken clouds 76 8
Phoenix, AZ broken clouds 80 8
Pittsburgh, PA broken clouds 76 8
West Palm Beach, FL scattered clouds 85 8
Atlanta, GA broken clouds 83 7
Denver, CO broken clouds 68 7
San Francisco, CA scattered clouds 57 7
Washington, DC overcast clouds 65 7
Mexico City, México broken clouds 84 6
Los Angeles, CA scattered clouds 62 6
Oakland, CA scattered clouds 58 6
Jupiter, FL few clouds 85 5
Cleveland, OH overcast clouds 71 5
Detroit, MI overcast clouds 61 5
Philadelphia, PA light rain 56 5
St. Louis, MO broken clouds 70 5
Tampa Bay, FL scattered clouds 87 5
Toronto, ON overcast clouds 61 5
Chicago (AL), IL broken clouds 61 4
Miami, FL broken clouds 83 4
Minneapolis, MN few clouds 67 4
Baltimore, MD overcast clouds 63 3
Chicago (NL), IL broken clouds 58 3
Dyersville, IA overcast clouds 65 3
Kansas City, MO moderate rain 58 3
Milwaukee, WI clear sky 63 3
San Diego, CA few clouds 62 3
Williamsport, PA overcast clouds 53 3
Boston, MA overcast clouds 52 2
Bronx, NY moderate rain 51 2
Queens, NY moderate rain 51 2
Seattle, WA overcast clouds 49 2
Data last updated: 1714935366
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