Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions can change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple way to see the if weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The Home Run Forecast Index demonstrates a strong correlation with the number of HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand HRFI forecast data by team and for each game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark LocationSky CoverTemperature (°F)Home Run Forecast Index™
Arlington, TXclear sky728
Chicago (NL), ILheavy intensity rain658
Cleveland, OHclear sky728
Houston, TXclear sky818
St. Louis, MOlight rain608
Queens, NYscattered clouds607
Anaheim, CAclear sky716
San Francisco, CAclear sky686
Toronto, ONbroken clouds636
Bronx, NYclear sky595
Los Angeles, CAclear sky735
Phoenix, AZscattered clouds755
San Diego, CAfew clouds705
Washington, DCfew clouds595
Sacramento, CAclear sky684
Chicago (AL), ILheavy intensity rain644
Cincinnati, OHbroken clouds744
Milwaukee, WIovercast clouds644
Philadelphia, PAfew clouds554
Tampa, FLclear sky734
Atlanta, GAclear sky683
Baltimore, MDclear sky573
Detroit, MIovercast clouds693
Kansas City, MOclear sky613
Miami, FLscattered clouds783
Minneapolis, MNfew clouds533
Pittsburgh, PAovercast clouds653
Boston, MAfew clouds501
Denver, COclear sky421
Seattle, WAlight rain501
Data last updated: 1760842568
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