Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions can change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple way to see the if weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The Home Run Forecast Index demonstrates a strong correlation with the number of HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand HRFI forecast data by team and for each game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Sacramento, CA clear sky 88 10
Arlington, TX clear sky 87 10
Houston, TX broken clouds 86 10
Anaheim, CA clear sky 78 8
Baltimore, MD broken clouds 74 8
Boston, MA broken clouds 69 8
Los Angeles, CA clear sky 78 8
Miami, FL overcast clouds 80 8
Philadelphia, PA broken clouds 72 8
Queens, NY broken clouds 72 8
Tampa, FL overcast clouds 79 8
Atlanta, GA few clouds 74 7
Bronx, NY clear sky 72 7
Chicago (AL), IL scattered clouds 65 7
Phoenix, AZ broken clouds 100 7
Washington, DC broken clouds 74 7
Cincinnati, OH clear sky 66 6
San Francisco, CA scattered clouds 62 6
Detroit, MI scattered clouds 65 5
Kansas City, MO clear sky 67 5
Milwaukee, WI clear sky 57 5
Pittsburgh, PA broken clouds 70 5
San Diego, CA scattered clouds 73 5
Seattle, WA broken clouds 78 5
Cleveland, OH scattered clouds 66 4
Denver, CO overcast clouds 66 4
Toronto, ON overcast clouds 63 4
Chicago (NL), IL scattered clouds 65 3
Minneapolis, MN overcast clouds 62 3
St. Louis, MO clear sky 65 3
Data last updated: 1756090567
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