Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple indication of how weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The HRFI demonstrates a strong correlation with HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand forecast data by team and game.

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HRF forecast value available for each contest, with detailed data throughout the game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Arlington, TX clear sky 70 8
Chicago (NL), IL overcast clouds 69 8
Cleveland, OH clear sky 67 8
Houston, TX overcast clouds 77 8
Oakland, CA few clouds 60 8
Phoenix, AZ clear sky 81 8
San Francisco, CA few clouds 57 8
St. Louis, MO overcast clouds 70 8
Washington, DC few clouds 70 8
Anaheim, CA clear sky 67 7
Boston, MA overcast clouds 62 6
Bronx, NY overcast clouds 65 6
Chicago (AL), IL overcast clouds 69 6
Philadelphia, PA broken clouds 69 6
Kansas City, MO clear sky 63 5
Pittsburgh, PA clear sky 68 5
Baltimore, MD broken clouds 71 4
Cincinnati, OH clear sky 71 4
Los Angeles, CA clear sky 64 4
Queens, NY overcast clouds 64 4
San Diego, CA few clouds 64 4
Tampa Bay, FL overcast clouds 74 4
West Palm Beach, FL scattered clouds 73 4
Williamsport, PA broken clouds 63 4
Jupiter, FL overcast clouds 73 3
Mexico City, México broken clouds 75 3
Atlanta, GA clear sky 66 3
Denver, CO broken clouds 53 3
Detroit, MI broken clouds 61 3
Dyersville, IA overcast clouds 55 3
Miami, FL broken clouds 74 3
Toronto, ON overcast clouds 56 3
Milwaukee, WI overcast clouds 48 1
Minneapolis, MN light rain 44 1
Seattle, WA broken clouds 50 1
Data last updated: 1714359366
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