Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions can change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple way to see the if weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The Home Run Forecast Index demonstrates a strong correlation with the number of HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand HRFI forecast data by team and for each game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Phoenix, AZ clear sky 86 10
Arlington, TX broken clouds 75 8
Atlanta, GA clear sky 73 8
Boston, MA broken clouds 73 8
Bronx, NY clear sky 74 8
Chicago (AL), IL broken clouds 79 8
Chicago (NL), IL broken clouds 79 8
Cleveland, OH clear sky 76 8
Houston, TX overcast clouds 78 8
Kansas City, MO clear sky 75 8
Miami, FL broken clouds 79 8
Milwaukee, WI heavy intensity rain 73 8
Queens, NY broken clouds 74 8
St. Louis, MO clear sky 80 8
Tampa, FL clear sky 77 8
Toronto, ON broken clouds 77 8
Baltimore, MD broken clouds 71 7
Cincinnati, OH scattered clouds 75 7
Detroit, MI few clouds 79 7
Philadelphia, PA scattered clouds 72 7
Pittsburgh, PA clear sky 72 7
Washington, DC scattered clouds 71 7
Denver, CO few clouds 64 6
Anaheim, CA overcast clouds 62 5
Minneapolis, MN clear sky 67 5
Sacramento, CA clear sky 59 4
Los Angeles, CA clear sky 62 4
San Diego, CA overcast clouds 64 4
San Francisco, CA broken clouds 53 3
Seattle, WA scattered clouds 54 2
Data last updated: 1751802966
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