Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple indication of how weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The HRFI demonstrates a strong correlation with HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand forecast data by team and game.

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HRF forecast value available for each contest, with detailed data throughout the game.

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Detailed weather data and hourly index data for each park.

Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Arlington, TX overcast clouds 77 8
Boston, MA broken clouds 68 8
Houston, TX broken clouds 81 8
St. Louis, MO overcast clouds 66 8
West Palm Beach, FL broken clouds 84 8
Atlanta, GA broken clouds 75 7
Baltimore, MD overcast clouds 69 7
Washington, DC overcast clouds 70 7
Jupiter, FL broken clouds 84 6
Kansas City, MO overcast clouds 64 6
Philadelphia, PA overcast clouds 67 6
Phoenix, AZ clear sky 69 6
Pittsburgh, PA overcast clouds 67 6
Cincinnati, OH overcast clouds 67 5
Anaheim, CA scattered clouds 61 4
Bronx, NY overcast clouds 61 4
Denver, CO scattered clouds 51 4
Detroit, MI clear sky 62 4
Los Angeles, CA clear sky 58 4
Miami, FL broken clouds 84 4
Queens, NY overcast clouds 63 4
San Diego, CA few clouds 60 4
Tampa Bay, FL clear sky 83 4
Toronto, ON clear sky 62 4
Williamsport, PA light rain 62 4
Mexico City, México overcast clouds 75 3
Chicago (AL), IL broken clouds 63 3
Chicago (NL), IL broken clouds 61 3
Cleveland, OH broken clouds 64 3
Dyersville, IA clear sky 64 3
Milwaukee, WI clear sky 62 3
Minneapolis, MN clear sky 66 3
Oakland, CA few clouds 52 3
San Francisco, CA few clouds 54 3
Seattle, WA broken clouds 50 2
Data last updated: 1715010966
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