Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions can change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple way to see the if weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The Home Run Forecast Index demonstrates a strong correlation with the number of HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand HRFI forecast data by team and for each game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Sacramento, CA clear sky 100 10
Arlington, TX scattered clouds 90 10
Atlanta, GA scattered clouds 89 10
Chicago (AL), IL few clouds 85 10
Houston, TX broken clouds 88 10
Kansas City, MO clear sky 89 10
Minneapolis, MN scattered clouds 88 10
Phoenix, AZ few clouds 106 10
St. Louis, MO overcast clouds 85 10
Anaheim, CA clear sky 78 8
Boston, MA broken clouds 78 8
Bronx, NY heavy intensity rain 74 8
Cincinnati, OH scattered clouds 85 8
Denver, CO broken clouds 85 8
Detroit, MI clear sky 84 8
Los Angeles, CA clear sky 77 8
Milwaukee, WI few clouds 83 8
Philadelphia, PA moderate rain 78 8
Pittsburgh, PA few clouds 80 8
Queens, NY moderate rain 75 8
San Francisco, CA few clouds 65 8
Toronto, ON few clouds 81 8
Chicago (NL), IL few clouds 84 7
Cleveland, OH clear sky 81 7
San Diego, CA broken clouds 73 7
Washington, DC light rain 76 7
Seattle, WA overcast clouds 76 6
Baltimore, MD overcast clouds 74 5
Miami, FL overcast clouds 74 3
Tampa, FL heavy intensity rain 74 3
Data last updated: 1752537368
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