Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple indication of how weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The HRFI demonstrates a strong correlation with HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand forecast data by team and game.

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HRF forecast value available for each contest, with detailed data throughout the game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Arlington, TX moderate rain 72 8
Houston, TX broken clouds 75 8
Oakland, CA scattered clouds 59 8
Phoenix, AZ clear sky 87 7
San Francisco, CA broken clouds 55 7
Anaheim, CA scattered clouds 63 6
Tampa Bay, FL broken clouds 79 6
Mexico City, México broken clouds 78 5
Atlanta, GA broken clouds 72 5
Detroit, MI clear sky 60 5
Los Angeles, CA clear sky 63 5
Pittsburgh, PA moderate rain 65 5
Seattle, WA overcast clouds 59 5
West Palm Beach, FL broken clouds 76 5
Jupiter, FL overcast clouds 76 4
Cincinnati, OH light rain 67 4
Kansas City, MO few clouds 67 4
San Diego, CA broken clouds 62 4
St. Louis, MO clear sky 67 4
Baltimore, MD overcast clouds 54 3
Chicago (AL), IL few clouds 55 3
Chicago (NL), IL few clouds 55 3
Cleveland, OH overcast clouds 62 3
Dyersville, IA few clouds 56 3
Miami, FL few clouds 77 3
Milwaukee, WI clear sky 53 3
Minneapolis, MN few clouds 58 3
Philadelphia, PA broken clouds 51 3
Toronto, ON overcast clouds 57 3
Washington, DC broken clouds 56 3
Williamsport, PA overcast clouds 60 3
Bronx, NY few clouds 53 2
Queens, NY scattered clouds 52 2
Boston, MA few clouds 48 1
Denver, CO scattered clouds 47 1
Data last updated: 1714791367
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