Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions can change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple way to see the if weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The Home Run Forecast Index demonstrates a strong correlation with the number of HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand HRFI forecast data by team and for each game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Phoenix, AZ broken clouds 91 10
Baltimore, MD broken clouds 84 8
Boston, MA overcast clouds 75 8
Bronx, NY scattered clouds 77 8
Chicago (AL), IL few clouds 75 8
Cincinnati, OH light rain 72 8
Cleveland, OH clear sky 74 8
Detroit, MI broken clouds 75 8
Houston, TX clear sky 77 8
Kansas City, MO clear sky 69 8
Milwaukee, WI clear sky 71 8
Minneapolis, MN clear sky 68 8
Philadelphia, PA broken clouds 80 8
Pittsburgh, PA overcast clouds 75 8
Queens, NY overcast clouds 76 8
Tampa, FL clear sky 79 8
Washington, DC broken clouds 82 8
Arlington, TX few clouds 75 7
Atlanta, GA overcast clouds 73 7
St. Louis, MO clear sky 72 7
Toronto, ON broken clouds 73 7
Sacramento, CA clear sky 62 5
Anaheim, CA clear sky 61 5
Chicago (NL), IL clear sky 73 5
Denver, CO clear sky 64 4
Los Angeles, CA clear sky 61 4
Miami, FL broken clouds 81 4
San Diego, CA overcast clouds 64 4
San Francisco, CA broken clouds 54 4
Seattle, WA broken clouds 59 4
Data last updated: 1751374567
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