Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple indication of how weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The HRFI demonstrates a strong correlation with HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand forecast data by team and game.

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HRF forecast value available for each contest, with detailed data throughout the game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Phoenix, AZ broken clouds 90 10
Cincinnati, OH overcast clouds 69 8
Houston, TX overcast clouds 78 8
Anaheim, CA overcast clouds 61 7
Atlanta, GA clear sky 69 7
Chicago (AL), IL broken clouds 64 7
Cleveland, OH overcast clouds 63 7
Milwaukee, WI overcast clouds 60 7
Arlington, TX overcast clouds 75 6
Denver, CO few clouds 60 6
Los Angeles, CA scattered clouds 61 6
Oakland, CA scattered clouds 53 6
San Francisco, CA scattered clouds 52 6
West Palm Beach, FL scattered clouds 77 6
Mexico City, México overcast clouds 75 5
Chicago (NL), IL broken clouds 65 5
St. Louis, MO few clouds 67 5
Tampa Bay, FL broken clouds 77 5
Detroit, MI broken clouds 67 4
San Diego, CA broken clouds 62 4
Toronto, ON broken clouds 59 4
Jupiter, FL clear sky 77 3
Dyersville, IA overcast clouds 56 3
Kansas City, MO broken clouds 57 3
Miami, FL few clouds 78 3
Minneapolis, MN few clouds 56 3
Pittsburgh, PA moderate rain 56 3
Seattle, WA overcast clouds 55 3
Baltimore, MD overcast clouds 52 2
Bronx, NY overcast clouds 52 2
Queens, NY overcast clouds 52 2
Washington, DC overcast clouds 52 2
Williamsport, PA light rain 51 2
Boston, MA overcast clouds 47 1
Philadelphia, PA light rain 50 1
Data last updated: 1714874166
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