Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions can change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple way to see the if weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The Home Run Forecast Index demonstrates a strong correlation with the number of HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand HRFI forecast data by team and for each game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Sacramento, CA clear sky 93 10
Denver, CO clear sky 86 10
Houston, TX clear sky 87 10
Phoenix, AZ broken clouds 101 10
Anaheim, CA clear sky 71 8
Atlanta, GA few clouds 81 8
Baltimore, MD few clouds 77 8
Boston, MA few clouds 77 8
Chicago (AL), IL broken clouds 83 8
Cleveland, OH clear sky 76 8
Kansas City, MO clear sky 81 8
Los Angeles, CA clear sky 71 8
Milwaukee, WI broken clouds 74 8
Minneapolis, MN clear sky 81 8
Philadelphia, PA overcast clouds 77 8
Queens, NY broken clouds 75 8
San Francisco, CA scattered clouds 58 8
Tampa, FL few clouds 81 8
Washington, DC scattered clouds 78 8
Bronx, NY clear sky 76 7
Chicago (NL), IL scattered clouds 84 7
Cincinnati, OH few clouds 76 7
Detroit, MI clear sky 81 7
Miami, FL overcast clouds 80 7
Toronto, ON overcast clouds 76 7
Pittsburgh, PA few clouds 73 6
St. Louis, MO overcast clouds 82 6
San Diego, CA few clouds 68 5
Arlington, TX few clouds 84 4
Seattle, WA broken clouds 70 4
Data last updated: 1751507765
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