Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions can change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple way to see the if weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The Home Run Forecast Index demonstrates a strong correlation with the number of HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand HRFI forecast data by team and for each game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Houston, TX few clouds 87 10
Phoenix, AZ broken clouds 93 10
Tampa, FL light rain 85 10
Arlington, TX few clouds 83 8
Atlanta, GA broken clouds 77 8
Boston, MA few clouds 78 8
Bronx, NY overcast clouds 77 8
Chicago (AL), IL broken clouds 84 8
Chicago (NL), IL broken clouds 82 8
Cincinnati, OH clear sky 80 8
Cleveland, OH few clouds 80 8
Denver, CO few clouds 76 8
Detroit, MI clear sky 81 8
Kansas City, MO clear sky 80 8
Milwaukee, WI scattered clouds 79 8
Minneapolis, MN clear sky 80 8
Philadelphia, PA overcast clouds 74 8
Pittsburgh, PA clear sky 78 8
Queens, NY overcast clouds 76 8
St. Louis, MO clear sky 83 8
Toronto, ON clear sky 80 8
Baltimore, MD broken clouds 74 7
Washington, DC broken clouds 73 7
Sacramento, CA clear sky 66 6
Anaheim, CA overcast clouds 64 6
Los Angeles, CA overcast clouds 62 5
Seattle, WA clear sky 58 5
Miami, FL light rain 83 4
San Diego, CA overcast clouds 64 4
San Francisco, CA broken clouds 55 4
Data last updated: 1751468166
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