Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple indication of how weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The HRFI demonstrates a strong correlation with HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand forecast data by team and game.

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HRF forecast value available for each contest, with detailed data throughout the game.

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Detailed weather data and hourly index data for each park.

Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Denver, CO broken clouds 75 9
Anaheim, CA few clouds 66 8
Atlanta, GA few clouds 76 8
Cincinnati, OH scattered clouds 78 8
Houston, TX moderate rain 75 8
Oakland, CA few clouds 61 8
Phoenix, AZ broken clouds 80 8
Pittsburgh, PA broken clouds 74 8
San Francisco, CA few clouds 60 8
Washington, DC overcast clouds 69 8
West Palm Beach, FL few clouds 82 8
Arlington, TX broken clouds 81 7
Minneapolis, MN few clouds 69 7
Philadelphia, PA overcast clouds 58 6
St. Louis, MO broken clouds 70 6
Jupiter, FL clear sky 82 5
Detroit, MI overcast clouds 62 5
Mexico City, México broken clouds 82 4
Baltimore, MD overcast clouds 66 4
Chicago (AL), IL scattered clouds 62 4
Cleveland, OH overcast clouds 68 4
Dyersville, IA overcast clouds 67 4
Los Angeles, CA clear sky 66 4
Miami, FL broken clouds 82 4
Seattle, WA overcast clouds 51 4
Tampa Bay, FL clear sky 84 4
Toronto, ON overcast clouds 59 4
Chicago (NL), IL scattered clouds 60 3
Kansas City, MO moderate rain 57 3
Milwaukee, WI clear sky 63 3
Queens, NY overcast clouds 51 3
San Diego, CA broken clouds 63 3
Williamsport, PA overcast clouds 55 3
Bronx, NY overcast clouds 51 2
Boston, MA overcast clouds 51 1
Data last updated: 1714946166
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