Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions can change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple way to see the if weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The Home Run Forecast Index demonstrates a strong correlation with the number of HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand HRFI forecast data by team and for each game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Phoenix, AZ overcast clouds 89 10
Sacramento, CA clear sky 70 8
Anaheim, CA overcast clouds 59 8
Philadelphia, PA broken clouds 68 8
Queens, NY broken clouds 67 8
San Francisco, CA scattered clouds 57 8
Tampa, FL clear sky 75 8
Bronx, NY scattered clouds 69 7
Baltimore, MD broken clouds 67 6
San Diego, CA overcast clouds 60 6
Boston, MA overcast clouds 65 5
Los Angeles, CA overcast clouds 59 5
Washington, DC overcast clouds 71 5
Atlanta, GA moderate rain 58 4
Denver, CO few clouds 70 4
Arlington, TX clear sky 65 3
Cincinnati, OH overcast clouds 53 3
Houston, TX overcast clouds 72 3
Kansas City, MO clear sky 57 3
Miami, FL broken clouds 77 3
Minneapolis, MN clear sky 59 3
Pittsburgh, PA moderate rain 60 3
Seattle, WA overcast clouds 53 3
St. Louis, MO moderate rain 52 3
Chicago (AL), IL scattered clouds 46 1
Chicago (NL), IL scattered clouds 45 1
Cleveland, OH overcast clouds 47 1
Detroit, MI clear sky 48 1
Milwaukee, WI clear sky 44 1
Toronto, ON broken clouds 48 1
Data last updated: 1746323766
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