Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions can change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple way to see the if weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The Home Run Forecast Index demonstrates a strong correlation with the number of HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand HRFI forecast data by team and for each game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Sacramento, CA clear sky 99 10
Anaheim, CA clear sky 86 10
Arlington, TX clear sky 95 10
Houston, TX clear sky 92 10
Los Angeles, CA clear sky 85 10
Phoenix, AZ broken clouds 101 10
Seattle, WA clear sky 88 10
Miami, FL broken clouds 86 9
Atlanta, GA clear sky 75 8
Boston, MA scattered clouds 73 8
Bronx, NY clear sky 80 8
Chicago (AL), IL broken clouds 68 8
Pittsburgh, PA broken clouds 67 8
Queens, NY broken clouds 81 8
San Diego, CA clear sky 78 8
San Francisco, CA scattered clouds 68 8
Tampa, FL scattered clouds 77 8
Cincinnati, OH few clouds 69 7
Milwaukee, WI few clouds 65 7
Minneapolis, MN scattered clouds 68 7
Philadelphia, PA clear sky 77 7
Baltimore, MD few clouds 79 6
Detroit, MI overcast clouds 67 6
Washington, DC clear sky 76 5
Chicago (NL), IL broken clouds 68 4
Cleveland, OH broken clouds 67 4
Kansas City, MO clear sky 72 4
St. Louis, MO few clouds 72 4
Denver, CO overcast clouds 65 3
Toronto, ON broken clouds 68 3
Data last updated: 1756166165
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