Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple indication of how weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The HRFI demonstrates a strong correlation with HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand forecast data by team and game.

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HRF forecast value available for each contest, with detailed data throughout the game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Anaheim, CA clear sky 72 8
Arlington, TX broken clouds 77 8
Baltimore, MD scattered clouds 82 8
Boston, MA broken clouds 69 8
Bronx, NY clear sky 73 8
Chicago (NL), IL broken clouds 74 8
Cincinnati, OH scattered clouds 81 8
Cleveland, OH scattered clouds 79 8
Detroit, MI broken clouds 79 8
Houston, TX overcast clouds 79 8
Kansas City, MO scattered clouds 69 8
Los Angeles, CA clear sky 71 8
Oakland, CA few clouds 68 8
Philadelphia, PA broken clouds 80 8
Pittsburgh, PA scattered clouds 83 8
Queens, NY broken clouds 70 8
San Francisco, CA few clouds 64 8
St. Louis, MO clear sky 74 8
Washington, DC few clouds 84 8
Williamsport, PA clear sky 76 8
San Diego, CA few clouds 68 7
West Palm Beach, FL broken clouds 78 7
Chicago (AL), IL broken clouds 74 6
Seattle, WA overcast clouds 53 6
Phoenix, AZ few clouds 85 5
Tampa Bay, FL clear sky 83 5
Jupiter, FL broken clouds 78 4
Mexico City, México broken clouds 82 4
Atlanta, GA few clouds 76 4
Denver, CO scattered clouds 62 4
Dyersville, IA overcast clouds 66 4
Miami, FL broken clouds 79 3
Toronto, ON overcast clouds 60 3
Milwaukee, WI overcast clouds 45 1
Minneapolis, MN light rain 45 1
Data last updated: 1714341366
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