Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple indication of how weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The HRFI demonstrates a strong correlation with HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand forecast data by team and game.

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HRF forecast value available for each contest, with detailed data throughout the game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Anaheim, CA few clouds 70 8
Arlington, TX overcast clouds 81 8
Chicago (AL), IL broken clouds 77 8
Chicago (NL), IL broken clouds 77 8
Cleveland, OH clear sky 77 8
Detroit, MI scattered clouds 80 8
Dyersville, IA moderate rain 71 8
Houston, TX broken clouds 80 8
Kansas City, MO broken clouds 72 8
Los Angeles, CA clear sky 69 8
Milwaukee, WI few clouds 77 8
Oakland, CA broken clouds 65 8
Pittsburgh, PA overcast clouds 76 8
San Francisco, CA broken clouds 62 8
St. Louis, MO broken clouds 73 8
Cincinnati, OH clear sky 77 7
San Diego, CA few clouds 67 6
Phoenix, AZ scattered clouds 78 5
West Palm Beach, FL overcast clouds 76 5
Mexico City, México overcast clouds 80 4
Minneapolis, MN overcast clouds 56 4
Seattle, WA moderate rain 52 4
Tampa Bay, FL clear sky 82 4
Toronto, ON overcast clouds 55 4
Washington, DC overcast clouds 58 4
Jupiter, FL overcast clouds 76 3
Boston, MA overcast clouds 61 3
Miami, FL broken clouds 79 3
Atlanta, GA overcast clouds 74 2
Baltimore, MD overcast clouds 57 2
Philadelphia, PA overcast clouds 54 2
Queens, NY overcast clouds 53 2
Bronx, NY overcast clouds 53 1
Denver, CO overcast clouds 40 1
Williamsport, PA light rain 51 1
Data last updated: 1714258566
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