Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple indication of how weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The HRFI demonstrates a strong correlation with HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand forecast data by team and game.

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HRF forecast value available for each contest, with detailed data throughout the game.

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Detailed weather data and hourly index data for each park.

Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Phoenix, AZ clear sky 88 10
Anaheim, CA broken clouds 60 8
Chicago (AL), IL overcast clouds 64 8
Houston, TX overcast clouds 77 8
West Palm Beach, FL scattered clouds 77 8
Arlington, TX moderate rain 74 7
Cleveland, OH overcast clouds 62 7
Los Angeles, CA few clouds 59 7
Cincinnati, OH broken clouds 68 6
Milwaukee, WI overcast clouds 57 6
Atlanta, GA clear sky 68 5
Tampa Bay, FL few clouds 77 5
Jupiter, FL overcast clouds 76 4
Denver, CO overcast clouds 58 4
Oakland, CA broken clouds 51 4
Seattle, WA overcast clouds 54 4
St. Louis, MO clear sky 65 4
Toronto, ON overcast clouds 57 4
Mexico City, México scattered clouds 70 3
Chicago (NL), IL overcast clouds 64 3
Detroit, MI overcast clouds 65 3
Dyersville, IA overcast clouds 55 3
Kansas City, MO clear sky 55 3
Miami, FL few clouds 78 3
Minneapolis, MN clear sky 53 3
Pittsburgh, PA overcast clouds 56 3
San Diego, CA overcast clouds 61 3
San Francisco, CA clear sky 51 3
Baltimore, MD overcast clouds 52 2
Bronx, NY overcast clouds 52 2
Queens, NY overcast clouds 51 2
Washington, DC overcast clouds 52 2
Boston, MA overcast clouds 47 1
Philadelphia, PA light rain 50 1
Williamsport, PA light rain 51 1
Data last updated: 1714877766
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