Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple indication of how weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The HRFI demonstrates a strong correlation with HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand forecast data by team and game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Phoenix, AZ scattered clouds 92 10
Anaheim, CA overcast clouds 62 8
Arlington, TX overcast clouds 76 8
Cleveland, OH broken clouds 64 8
Houston, TX overcast clouds 79 8
Milwaukee, WI overcast clouds 62 8
Chicago (AL), IL overcast clouds 65 7
Chicago (NL), IL moderate rain 68 7
Cincinnati, OH few clouds 71 7
Denver, CO overcast clouds 62 7
Los Angeles, CA overcast clouds 62 7
Oakland, CA broken clouds 53 7
San Francisco, CA broken clouds 53 7
St. Louis, MO broken clouds 67 7
Atlanta, GA scattered clouds 71 6
West Palm Beach, FL overcast clouds 78 6
Mexico City, México broken clouds 75 5
Minneapolis, MN clear sky 59 5
San Diego, CA broken clouds 62 5
Tampa Bay, FL few clouds 79 5
Jupiter, FL overcast clouds 77 4
Detroit, MI overcast clouds 68 4
Dyersville, IA overcast clouds 57 4
Kansas City, MO broken clouds 59 3
Miami, FL scattered clouds 78 3
Pittsburgh, PA overcast clouds 57 3
Seattle, WA light rain 55 3
Toronto, ON overcast clouds 61 3
Washington, DC overcast clouds 53 3
Baltimore, MD overcast clouds 52 2
Bronx, NY broken clouds 53 2
Queens, NY overcast clouds 53 2
Williamsport, PA overcast clouds 52 2
Boston, MA overcast clouds 47 1
Philadelphia, PA light rain 50 1
Data last updated: 1714870566
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