Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions can change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple way to see the if weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The Home Run Forecast Index demonstrates a strong correlation with the number of HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand HRFI forecast data by team and for each game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark LocationSky CoverTemperature (°F)Home Run Forecast Index™
Arlington, TXclear sky9010
Houston, TXscattered clouds9110
Sacramento, CAclear sky8810
Tampa, FLbroken clouds8810
Phoenix, AZfew clouds1039
Anaheim, CAclear sky788
Atlanta, GAclear sky718
Chicago (AL), ILbroken clouds758
Cincinnati, OHclear sky768
Kansas City, MOclear sky838
Los Angeles, CAclear sky778
Mexico City, Mexicoovercast clouds708
Milwaukee, WIfew clouds668
San Diego, CAfew clouds728
San Francisco, CAfew clouds658
St. Louis, MOclear sky818
Cleveland, OHscattered clouds717
Detroit, MIclear sky707
Washington, DCscattered clouds757
Baltimore, MDscattered clouds706
Miami, FLlight rain886
Pittsburgh, PAbroken clouds686
Boston, MAmoderate rain535
Minneapolis, MNclear sky615
Tampa Bay, FLclear sky845
Bronx, NYmoderate rain574
Seattle, WAclear sky684
Toronto, ONheavy intensity rain584
Chicago (NL), ILbroken clouds743
Denver, COfew clouds753
Philadelphia, PAovercast clouds603
Queens, NYbroken clouds573
Data last updated: 1778363769
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