Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple indication of how weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The HRFI demonstrates a strong correlation with HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand forecast data by team and game.

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HRF forecast value available for each contest, with detailed data throughout the game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Houston, TX overcast clouds 74 8
Baltimore, MD broken clouds 64 7
Cincinnati, OH few clouds 67 7
West Palm Beach, FL scattered clouds 76 7
Anaheim, CA overcast clouds 59 6
Chicago (AL), IL overcast clouds 62 6
San Diego, CA overcast clouds 60 6
Arlington, TX broken clouds 67 5
Atlanta, GA few clouds 67 5
Milwaukee, WI overcast clouds 55 5
Phoenix, AZ clear sky 71 5
Tampa Bay, FL clear sky 72 5
Jupiter, FL scattered clouds 76 4
Cleveland, OH few clouds 58 4
Miami, FL broken clouds 76 4
Pittsburgh, PA few clouds 61 4
St. Louis, MO overcast clouds 63 4
Washington, DC broken clouds 66 4
Mexico City, México broken clouds 64 3
Bronx, NY scattered clouds 55 3
Chicago (NL), IL overcast clouds 61 3
Detroit, MI broken clouds 60 3
Kansas City, MO few clouds 52 3
Los Angeles, CA broken clouds 59 3
Oakland, CA scattered clouds 52 3
Philadelphia, PA broken clouds 57 3
Queens, NY broken clouds 55 3
San Francisco, CA scattered clouds 51 3
Toronto, ON clear sky 54 3
Williamsport, PA clear sky 55 3
Boston, MA overcast clouds 49 1
Denver, CO clear sky 44 1
Dyersville, IA scattered clouds 47 1
Minneapolis, MN clear sky 45 1
Seattle, WA clear sky 45 1
Data last updated: 1714737366
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