Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions can change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple way to see the if weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The Home Run Forecast Index demonstrates a strong correlation with the number of HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand HRFI forecast data by team and for each game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Sacramento, CA clear sky 90 10
Arlington, TX few clouds 88 10
Phoenix, AZ few clouds 109 10
Anaheim, CA clear sky 75 8
Baltimore, MD broken clouds 84 8
Boston, MA scattered clouds 75 8
Bronx, NY clear sky 78 8
Chicago (AL), IL overcast clouds 82 8
Cleveland, OH clear sky 74 8
Denver, CO overcast clouds 76 8
Detroit, MI overcast clouds 79 8
Houston, TX broken clouds 79 8
Los Angeles, CA clear sky 74 8
Miami, FL overcast clouds 80 8
Milwaukee, WI clear sky 76 8
Philadelphia, PA light rain 76 8
Queens, NY broken clouds 77 8
Tampa, FL overcast clouds 79 8
Washington, DC scattered clouds 85 8
Atlanta, GA overcast clouds 77 7
Chicago (NL), IL overcast clouds 82 7
Minneapolis, MN scattered clouds 68 7
Pittsburgh, PA broken clouds 75 7
Toronto, ON overcast clouds 70 7
Cincinnati, OH clear sky 74 6
San Francisco, CA few clouds 58 6
San Diego, CA few clouds 70 5
Seattle, WA clear sky 79 5
St. Louis, MO overcast clouds 73 5
Kansas City, MO clear sky 72 4
Data last updated: 1751338565
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