Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple indication of how weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The HRFI demonstrates a strong correlation with HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand forecast data by team and game.

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HRF forecast value available for each contest, with detailed data throughout the game.

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Detailed weather data and hourly index data for each park.

Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Arlington, TX few clouds 73 8
Houston, TX broken clouds 78 8
West Palm Beach, FL scattered clouds 80 8
Jupiter, FL clear sky 80 7
Kansas City, MO overcast clouds 60 7
Baltimore, MD overcast clouds 67 6
St. Louis, MO clear sky 65 6
Washington, DC overcast clouds 68 6
Atlanta, GA few clouds 68 5
Cincinnati, OH broken clouds 66 5
Cleveland, OH overcast clouds 59 5
Miami, FL few clouds 80 5
Pittsburgh, PA overcast clouds 63 5
Tampa Bay, FL clear sky 77 5
Boston, MA few clouds 65 4
Bronx, NY clear sky 64 4
Chicago (NL), IL overcast clouds 59 4
Dyersville, IA overcast clouds 57 4
Minneapolis, MN overcast clouds 57 4
Philadelphia, PA scattered clouds 68 4
San Diego, CA clear sky 54 4
Williamsport, PA clear sky 62 4
Anaheim, CA clear sky 54 3
Chicago (AL), IL overcast clouds 61 3
Detroit, MI clear sky 56 3
Los Angeles, CA clear sky 55 3
Milwaukee, WI broken clouds 55 3
Phoenix, AZ few clouds 62 3
Queens, NY few clouds 66 3
Toronto, ON clear sky 58 3
Mexico City, México overcast clouds 66 2
Denver, CO scattered clouds 45 1
Oakland, CA clear sky 48 1
San Francisco, CA clear sky 48 1
Seattle, WA broken clouds 43 1
Data last updated: 1715086566
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