Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple indication of how weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The HRFI demonstrates a strong correlation with HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand forecast data by team and game.

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HRF forecast value available for each contest, with detailed data throughout the game.

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Detailed weather data and hourly index data for each park.

Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Cincinnati, OH broken clouds 71 8
Cleveland, OH few clouds 71 8
Detroit, MI broken clouds 70 8
Houston, TX overcast clouds 74 8
West Palm Beach, FL scattered clouds 83 8
Jupiter, FL few clouds 83 7
Mexico City, México clear sky 78 6
Anaheim, CA few clouds 55 6
Arlington, TX overcast clouds 68 6
Atlanta, GA broken clouds 73 6
Phoenix, AZ broken clouds 73 5
Pittsburgh, PA overcast clouds 66 5
Washington, DC overcast clouds 59 5
Miami, FL broken clouds 82 4
Minneapolis, MN clear sky 60 4
Tampa Bay, FL clear sky 82 4
Toronto, ON overcast clouds 54 4
Baltimore, MD overcast clouds 58 3
Chicago (AL), IL broken clouds 54 3
Chicago (NL), IL broken clouds 54 3
Denver, CO broken clouds 57 3
Dyersville, IA overcast clouds 58 3
Kansas City, MO clear sky 55 3
Los Angeles, CA clear sky 53 3
Milwaukee, WI clear sky 56 3
San Diego, CA broken clouds 56 3
St. Louis, MO clear sky 62 3
Williamsport, PA moderate rain 51 3
Boston, MA broken clouds 51 2
Philadelphia, PA overcast clouds 52 2
Queens, NY overcast clouds 51 2
Bronx, NY overcast clouds 51 1
Oakland, CA few clouds 47 1
San Francisco, CA few clouds 49 1
Seattle, WA overcast clouds 49 1
Data last updated: 1714920966
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