Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple indication of how weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The HRFI demonstrates a strong correlation with HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand forecast data by team and game.

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HRF forecast value available for each contest, with detailed data throughout the game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Arlington, TX clear sky 90 10
Houston, TX broken clouds 90 10
Phoenix, AZ few clouds 96 10
West Palm Beach, FL broken clouds 93 10
Anaheim, CA overcast clouds 69 8
Atlanta, GA overcast clouds 78 8
Chicago (AL), IL broken clouds 85 8
Chicago (NL), IL broken clouds 83 8
Cincinnati, OH clear sky 81 8
Denver, CO broken clouds 71 8
Dyersville, IA clear sky 83 8
Kansas City, MO clear sky 85 8
Milwaukee, WI scattered clouds 82 8
Minneapolis, MN broken clouds 79 8
Oakland, CA scattered clouds 66 8
Pittsburgh, PA few clouds 80 8
San Francisco, CA scattered clouds 62 8
St. Louis, MO scattered clouds 84 8
Jupiter, FL overcast clouds 93 7
Los Angeles, CA overcast clouds 65 7
San Diego, CA few clouds 71 7
Mexico City, México clear sky 84 6
Miami, FL scattered clouds 92 6
Tampa Bay, FL few clouds 89 6
Williamsport, PA overcast clouds 65 6
Baltimore, MD overcast clouds 64 5
Detroit, MI clear sky 75 5
Philadelphia, PA light rain 64 5
Toronto, ON overcast clouds 67 5
Washington, DC moderate rain 63 5
Bronx, NY broken clouds 68 4
Cleveland, OH few clouds 73 4
Queens, NY light rain 66 4
Boston, MA overcast clouds 57 3
Seattle, WA overcast clouds 54 3
Data last updated: 1716062168
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