Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions can change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple way to see the if weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The Home Run Forecast Index demonstrates a strong correlation with the number of HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand HRFI forecast data by team and for each game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Phoenix, AZ few clouds 90 10
Arlington, TX few clouds 79 8
Atlanta, GA broken clouds 74 8
Boston, MA broken clouds 75 8
Bronx, NY broken clouds 75 8
Chicago (AL), IL scattered clouds 81 8
Chicago (NL), IL scattered clouds 78 8
Cincinnati, OH clear sky 77 8
Detroit, MI clear sky 78 8
Houston, TX clear sky 83 8
Kansas City, MO clear sky 75 8
Milwaukee, WI clear sky 76 8
Minneapolis, MN clear sky 76 8
Philadelphia, PA heavy intensity rain 73 8
Queens, NY overcast clouds 75 8
St. Louis, MO clear sky 77 8
Tampa, FL scattered clouds 83 8
Toronto, ON clear sky 77 8
Washington, DC overcast clouds 72 8
Baltimore, MD broken clouds 72 7
Cleveland, OH clear sky 77 7
Denver, CO clear sky 71 7
Pittsburgh, PA few clouds 75 7
Anaheim, CA overcast clouds 63 6
Sacramento, CA clear sky 63 5
Miami, FL overcast clouds 82 5
Los Angeles, CA overcast clouds 61 4
San Diego, CA overcast clouds 63 4
San Francisco, CA broken clouds 54 4
Seattle, WA clear sky 56 4
Data last updated: 1751464568
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